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2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



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The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A former Blue Wall state in the Upper Midwest partly located in the Rust Belt, Wisconsin is a clearly purple state today. In 2016, Donald Trump very narrowly won Wisconsin by 0.77% in his surprise sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt, becoming the first Republican since Reagan in his 1984 landslide to win the state's electoral votes; but in 2020, Democrat Joe Biden flipped Wisconsin back into the blue column by an even more narrow 0.63%. Given the state's competitive electoral history coupled with its nearly even partisan lean, Wisconsin is considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup.[2]

The last presidential Republican to win Wisconsin by double digits was fellow Midwesterner Dwight D. Eisenhower; the last one to win the state twice was Ronald Reagan; and the only presidential candidates to carry the state by double digits after 1956 were Democrats Lyndon B. Johnson, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama (the latter representing neighboring Illinois) in 1964, 1996 and 2008, respectively.

The Wisconsin Green Party has attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020.[3]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary

The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 2, 2024[4]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 512,379 88.6% 82 82
Uninstructed 48,373 8.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 17,730 3.1%
Total: 578,482 100.0% 82 13 95

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Republican primary, April 2, 2024[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 477,103 78.97% 41 0 0
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 76,841 12.72% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 20,124 3.33% 0 0 0
Uninstructed 13,057 2.16% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 9,771 1.62% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 5,200 0.86% 0 0 0
Write-ins 2,081 0.34% 0 0 0
Total: 604,177 100.00% 41 0 41

General election

[edit]
Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee decorated to host the 2024 Republican National Convention

The Republican Party held their their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket.[6][7] This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention as in 2020 it was scheduled to occur there but was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Democratic Party's National Convention has been held one time in Milwaukee which was in 1996.[7][8]

Candidates

[edit]

The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot:[9]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Tossup August 27, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Tossup August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] Tossup August 26, 2024
CNN[13] Tossup August 27, 2024
The Economist[14] Tossup August 27, 2024
538[15] Lean D September 15, 2024
CNalysis[16] Tossup August 27, 2024
Inside Elections[17] Tossup August 29 , 2024
RCP[18] Tossup August 27, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
RealClearPolitics August 25 – September 16, 2024 September 16, 2024 49.1% 48.0% 2.9% Harris +1.1%
270ToWin September 8 – 14, 2024 September 16, 2024 50.0% 47.2% 2.8% Harris +2.8%
RacetotheWH through September 14, 2024 September 16, 2024 48.8% 46.0% 5.2% Harris +2.8%
The Hill/DDHQ through September 12, 2024 September 16, 2024 49.6% 46.6% 3.8% Harris +3.0%
Silver Bulletin through September 17, 2024 September 17, 2024 49.3% 47.1% 3.6% Harris +2.2%
538 through September 18, 2024 September 18, 2024 48.8% 45.8% 5.4% Harris +3.0%
Average 49.4% 46.9% 3.7% Harris +2.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[19] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[d]
49%[e] 50% 1%[d]
Morning Consult[20] September 9−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%
Marist College[21] September 12−17, 2024 1,312 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[f]
1,194 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 49% 1%[g]
Quinnipiac University[22] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[23][A] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[24] September 11–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[h]
Morning Consult[20] August 30 – September 8, 2024 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[25] September 4–6, 2024 917 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[26] September 3–6, 2024 946 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 49% –
Marquette University Law School[27] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 45% 6%
822 (RV) ± 4.6% 52%[e] 48% –
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 49% 44% 7%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 52%[e] 48% –
Patriot Polling[28] September 1–3, 2024 826 (RV) – 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[29] August 28–30, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[i]
Emerson College[30] August 25–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 49% 3%
49%[e] 50% 1%[d]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[31] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 44% 3%
701 (RV) 52% 44% 4%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[32][B] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 48% 42% 10%[j]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 51% 46% 3%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies[33][C] August 19–21, 2024 600 (LV) – 48% 45% 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[34][k] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 45% 6%
Spry Strategies (R)[35][D] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[36][E] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Focaldata[37] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 48% –
Quantus Polls and News[38][F] August 14–15, 2024 601 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
TIPP Insights[39][G] August 12–14, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 7%
976 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
The Bullfinch Group[40][H] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 42% 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[41] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) – 48% 49% 3%
Navigator Research (D)[42] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[43] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) – 49% 46% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[44] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 46% 4%
661 (LV) 50% 46% 3%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [45] July 31 – August 5, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
Marquette University Law School[46] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 44% 9%
877 (RV) ± 4.6% 49%[e] 50% 1%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 6%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 50%[e] 49% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[47][I] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News[49] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College[50] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
51%[e] 49% –
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 48% 49% 3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[52][G] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[53] May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College[54] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[55] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 46% 47% 7%
603 (LV) 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Quinnipiac University[22] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 1% 1% 3%[l]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[56] September 6–9, 2024 626 (LV) – 49% 46% – 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[57][K] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 44% 1% 1% – 7%[m]
CNN/SSRS[58] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 44% 0% 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[59] August 25–28, 2024 672 (LV) – 48% 44% – 0% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[31] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% – 1% 1% 2%
701 (RV) 51% 44% – 1% 1% 3%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.[n]
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Others/
Undecided
[o] 		Margin
Race to the WH July 13 – September 16, 2024 September 19, 2024 48.0% 44.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.4% — 2.2% Harris +3.3%
RealClearPolitics August 12 – September 16, 2024 September 16, 2024 48.1% 44.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.8% 0.1% Harris +3.2%
270toWin September 5 – 18, 2024 September 18, 2024 48.0% 45.0% 4.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% Harris +3.0%
Average 48.0% 44.9% 4.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% Harris +3.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[23][A] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 2% 0% 1% 0% 4%[p]
Marquette University Law School[27] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%[q]
Z to A Research (D)[60][L] August 23–26, 2024 518 (LV) – 47% 47% 2% – 0% 1% 3%
YouGov[32][B] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 45% 40% 4% 1% 1% 0% 9%[r]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 49% 45% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[36][E] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2%
Focaldata[37] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 44% 4% – 1% 0% 1%
700 (RV) 50% 42% 5% – 1% 0% 2%
700 (A) 50% 43% 5% – 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[61] August 12–15, 2024 469 (LV) – 48% 44% 3% – 0% 0% 5%
The Bullfinch Group[40][H] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 3% 1% 1% – 6%
New York Times/Siena College[44] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 42% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2%
661 (LV) 49% 43% 5% 0% 1% 1% 2%
Navigator Research (D)[42] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[43] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) – 48% 43% 5% 1% 0% – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[62] July 31 – August 3, 2024 597 (LV) – 43% 43% 3% – 0% 0% 11%
Marquette University Law School[46] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 45% 43% 8% 0% 1% 1% 2%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 45% 6% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 6% – 0% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[63] July 22–24, 2024 523 (LV) – 44% 44% 5% – 1% 1% 5%
Fox News[49] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 5% 1% 1% – 1%


Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[35][D] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 3% 2% 7%
Emerson College[50] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 45% 3% 1% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[34][k] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% 7%
Civiqs[64][L] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School[46] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 42% 47% 11%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[65][M] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[66][N] July 11–12, 2024 653 (V) ± 3.8% 47% 46% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[67][O] July 5–12, 2024 1,020 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 47% 47% 6%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[52][G] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 10%
Echelon Insights[68][P] July 1–8, 2024 617 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 47% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[69] July 1–5, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[70][A] June 28 – July 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 50% 5%
Emerson College[71][M] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Remington Research Group (R)[72] June 29 – July 1, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8%
Marquette University Law School[73] June 12–20, 2024 871 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 44% 12%
871 (RV) ± 4.6% 50%[e] 50% –
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 44% 9%
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 51%[e] 49% –
Emerson College[74] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
49%[e] 51% –
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[75] May 30–31, 2024 338 (RV) ± 5.3% 40% 38% 22%[s]
290 (LV) 40% 41% 19%[t]
KAConsulting (R)[76][Q] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) – 45% 45% 10%
Prime Group[77][R] May 9–16, 2024 488 (RV) – 51% 49% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[53] May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[78] May 6–13, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 45% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[79] April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 8%
614 (LV) 46% 47% 7%
Quinnipiac University[80] May 2–6, 2024 1,457 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 44% 6%
Emerson College[81] April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
48%[e] 52% –
Kaplan Strategies[82] April 20–21, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 48% 14%
John Zogby Strategies[83][S] April 13–21, 2024 518 (LV) – 46% 48% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[84] April 19–25, 2024 1,226 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 50% 1%
Fox News[85] April 11–16, 2024 1,198 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] April 8–15, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Marquette University Law School[87] April 3–10, 2024 814 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 47% 9%
814 (RV) ± 4.8% 49%[e] 51% –
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 45% 48% 7%
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 49%[e] 51% –
North Star Opinion Research (R)[88][T] April 6–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
Wall Street Journal[89] March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 8%
Echelon Insights[90][U] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.5% 47% 46% 7%
Emerson College[91] March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
48%[e] 52% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] March 8–14, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[93] February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College[54] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 13%
Kaplan Strategies[94] February 23, 2024 941 (RV) ± 3.2% 39% 41% 20%
Marquette University Law School[95] January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 44% 44% 12%
930 (RV) ± 4.2% 49%[e] 49% 2%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% 10%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 49%[e] 50% 1%
Fox News[96] January 26–30, 2024 1,172 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 6%
Focaldata[97] January 17–23, 2024 863 (A) – 38% 43% 19%[u]
– (LV) 42% 46% 12%[v]
– (LV) 49%[e] 51% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] January 16–21, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 49% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99] November 27 – December 6, 2023 681 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 45% 14%
J.L. Partners[100][V] November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 41% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] October 30 – November 7, 2023 675 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College[102] October 30 - November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 44% 13%
819 (LV) 45% 45% 10%
New York Times/Siena College[55] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 45% 8%
603 (LV) 47% 45% 8%
Marquette University Law School[103] October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 42% 13%
50%[e] 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[104] October 5–10, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 10%
Emerson College[105] October 1–4, 2023 532 (RV) ± 4.2% 40% 42% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][W] September 25–26, 2023 673 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%
Prime Group[107][R] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) – 53% 47% –
500 (RV) – 37% 40% 23%[w]
Marquette University Law School[108] June 8–13, 2023 913 (RV) ± 4.3% 48% 38% 14%
52%[e] 43% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[109] April 17–20, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% 9%
Emerson College[110] October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College[111] September 16–18, 2022 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 44% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[112][X] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 52% 6%
Marquette University Law School[113] October 26–31, 2021 805 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114] July 16–18, 2024 470 (LV) – 42% 42% 6% – 1% 9%[x]
Trafalgar Group (R)[115] July 15–17, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 46% 3% 0% 1% 7%
Emerson College[65][M] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 4% 0% 1% 6%[y]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[67][O] July 5–12, 2024 1,020 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 7% 0% 1% 5%[y]
YouGov[116][K] July 4–12, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 38% 43% 4% 1% 1% 13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[G] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 38% 11% – 3% 12%[z]
Echelon Insights[68][P] July 1–8, 2024 617 (LV) ± 4.7% 42% 43% 6% 1% 2% 6%[aa]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[69] July 1–5, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 39% 10% 1% 1% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[70][A] June 28 – July 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 9% – 3% 6%[y]
Marquette University Law School[73] June 12–20, 2024 871 (RV) ± 4.6% 40% 43% 8% 4% 2% 3%[aa]
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 44% 7% 3% 2% 2%[y]
Emerson College[74] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 6% 0% 1% 7%
J.L. Partners[117] June 5–10, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 44% 5% 0% 0% 6%
KAConsulting (R)[76][Q] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) – 42% 42% 7% 1% 2% 6%[ab]
Prime Group[77][R] May 9–16, 2024 488 (RV) – 44% 44% 7% 3% 2% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[53] May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 43% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[78] May 6–13, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 41% 9% 1% 1% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[79] April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 38% 9% 0% 1% 14%[ac]
614 (LV) 39% 40% 8% 0% 0% 13%[ac]
Quinnipiac University[80] May 2–6, 2024 1,457 (RV) ± 2.6% 40% 39% 12% 1% 4% 4%
Emerson College[81] April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Fox News[85] April 11–16, 2024 1,198 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 41% 9% 2% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] April 8–15, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% 8% 1% 1% 5%
Marquette University Law School[87] April 3–10, 2024 814 (RV) ± 4.8% 40% 41% 13% 3% 2% 1%
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 41% 42% 12% 3% 1% 1%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[88][T] April 6–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 37% 13% 2% 4% 9%
Wall Street Journal[89] March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 38% 10% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College[91] March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 6% 1% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] March 8–14, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 39% 41% 10% 1% 1% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[93] February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 41% 10% 1% 1% 12%
Emerson College[54] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 41% 7% 1% 1% 13%
Marquette University Law School[95] January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 37% 40% 16% 2% 4% 1%
808 (LV) 39% 41% 13% 2% 4% 1%
Fox News[96] January 26–30, 2024 1,172 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 42% 7% 1% 2% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[118] January 16–21, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 43% 10% 0% 2% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[119] November 27 – December 6, 2023 681 (RV) ± 4.0% 34% 40% 10% 1% 3% 13%
J.L. Partners[100][V] November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 37% 7% 1% 1% 12%[ad]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[64][L] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 47% 3% 3%
P2 Insights[120][Y] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 45% 4% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[75] May 30–31, 2024 338 (RV) ± 5.3% 38% 31% 13% 18%
290 (LV) 40% 35% 12% 13%
P2 Insights[121][Y] May 13−21, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 44% 7% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[122] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 37% 35% 22% 6%
603 (LV) 37% 35% 21% 7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[123] October 30 – November 7, 2023 675 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 38% 13% 2% 11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov[84] April 19–25, 2024 1,226 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 48% 8% 0%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[83][S] April 13–21, 2024 518 (LV) – 42% 48% 10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[83][S] April 13–21, 2024 518 (LV) – 41% 41% 18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College[54] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Fox News[49] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 47% 46% 7%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		JB
Pritzker
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 47% 47% 6%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Shapiro
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Fox News[49] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 46% 44% 10%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][J] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 47% 46% 7%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School[95] January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 33% 45% 22%
930 (RV) ± 4.2% 41%[e] 57% 2%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 35% 46% 19%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 42%[e] 57% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[124] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 39% 52% 9%
603 (LV) 39% 53% 8%
Marquette University Law School[103] October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 41% 23%
44%[e] 53% 3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[124] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 48% 8%
603 (LV) 44% 48% 8%
Marquette University Law School[103] October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 42% 15%
48%[e] 50% 1%
Marquette University Law School[108] June 8–13, 2023 913 (RV) ± 4.3% 45% 43% 12%
49%[e] 47% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[125] April 17–20, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10%


Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Green
Constitution
Independent
Independent
Independent
Total votes

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Candidate has suspended campaign
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 1%
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  7. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
  8. ^ "Other" with 1%
  9. ^ "Other" with 3%
  10. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  11. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  12. ^ Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  13. ^ "Other" with 2%
  14. ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  15. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  16. ^ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  17. ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
  18. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  19. ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
  20. ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
  21. ^ "Another candidate" with 13%
  22. ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
  23. ^ No Labels candidate
  24. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  25. ^ a b c d Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  26. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  27. ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  28. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  29. ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  30. ^ "Someone else" with 12%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by AARP
  2. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  6. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  7. ^ a b Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  8. ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  9. ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  10. ^ a b Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  11. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  12. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  13. ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
  14. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  15. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  16. ^ a b Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  17. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  18. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  19. ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  21. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  22. ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  23. ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  24. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

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[edit]
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