2024 United States presidential election in Michigan
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]
An Upper Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election.
Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019. Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margin by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, this race is considered to be a tossup.
On April 18, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.[3] Despite suspending his campaign on August 23 and legal attempts to withdraw himself, the Michigan Supreme Court ruled that his name will remain on the ballot.[4][5][6] Jill Stein from the Green party has ballot access.[7][8]
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot:[9]
- Kamala Harris — Democratic
- Donald Trump — Republican
- Chase Oliver — Libertarian
- Randall Terry — US Taxpayers
- Jill Stein — Green
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Natural Law[a]
- Joseph Kishore — Independent (Socialist Equality Party nominee)
- Cornel West — Independent
Additionally, voters have the option to write-in candidates who file a letter of intent by October 25.[10]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Tossup | August 20, 2024 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Tossup | September 10, 2024 |
CNN[14] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
The Economist[15] | Tossup | September 19, 2024 |
538[16] | Lean D | September 15, 2024 |
CNalysis[17] | Tilt D | August 27, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Tossup | August 29, 2024 |
RCP[19] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 3.8% | Harris +1.0% |
270ToWin | September 8 – 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 4.0% | Harris +1.2% |
RacetotheWH | through September 17, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | 48.6% | 46.8% | 4.6% | Harris +1.8% |
The Hill/DDHQ | through September 12, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 48.2% | 47.4% | 4.4% | Harris +0.8% |
Silver Bulletin | through September 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 48.1% | 46.7% | 5.2% | Harris +1.4% |
538 | through September 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 47.8% | 46.0% | 6.2% | Harris +1.8% |
Average | 48.2% | 46.8% | 5.0% | Harris +1.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[20] | September 15–18, 2024 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 4%[d] |
50%[e] | 49% | 1%[d] | ||||
Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,297 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Marist College[22] | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,282 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 47% | 3%[f] |
1,138 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 47% | 1%[g] | ||
Quinnipiac University[23] | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[24] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3%[h] |
Mitchell Research[25][A] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,368 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
co/efficient (R)[26] | September 4–6, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
CBS News/YouGov[27] | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
Patriot Polling[28] | September 1–3, 2024 | 822 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Cygnal (R)[29] | August 28 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[30] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Emerson College[31] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 47% | 3%[i] |
51%[e] | 48% | 1%[j] | ||||
ActiVote[32] | July 28 – August 28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
EPIC-MRA[33] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
702 (RV) | 49% | 46% | 5% | |||
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
YouGov[35][B] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 12%[k] |
– (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||
TIPP Insights[36][C] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Democratic National Convention | ||||||
Fabrizio Ward (R)[37][l] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[38][D] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Focaldata[39] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 47% | – |
The Bullfinch Group[40][E] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[41][F] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[42] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
New York Times/Siena College[43] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
619 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 5% | |||
Navigator Research (D)[44] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[45] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[46][G] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[47] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
SoCal Strategies (R)[48][H] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Fox News[49] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Emerson College[50] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
49%[e] | 51% | – | ||||
Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[52] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College[53] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
616 (LV) | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[23] | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3%[m] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[54] | September 6–9, 2024 | 556 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
YouGov[55][J] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[h] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[56] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
702 (RV) | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[n] Natural Law |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [o] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race to the WH | July 13 – September 16, 2024 | September 19, 2024 | 47.0% | 44.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | 2.4% | Harris +2.1% |
RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 47.0% | 45.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | Harris +1.8% |
270toWin | September 4 – 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 48.2% | 44.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | Harris +3.8% |
Average | 47.4% | 44.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | Harris +2.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research[25][A] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | – | 4%[p] |
CNN/SSRS[57] | August 23–29, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Z to A Research (D)[58][K] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov[35][B] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7%[q] |
– (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | ||
TIPP Insights[36][C] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[38][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
Focaldata[39] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | – |
702 (RV) | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
702 (A) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[59] | August 12–15, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
The Bullfinch Group[40][E] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[41][F] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
New York Times/Siena College[43] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
619 (LV) | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | |||
Navigator Research (D)[44] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[45] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[60] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[47] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Fox News[49] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[61] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Glengariff Group[62][L] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Emerson College[50] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[63][L] | August 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
EPIC-MRA[33] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[64][M] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)[37][l] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
Civiqs[65][K] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[64][M] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
EPIC-MRA[66][N] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
Emerson College[67][O] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Marketing Resource Group[68] | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[r] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][P] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Echelon Insights[70][Q] | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College[72][O] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
Remington Research Group (R)[73] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
EPIC-MRA[74][N] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Emerson College[75] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
49%[e] | 51% | – | ||||
Mitchell Research[76][A] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[77] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
636 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
Mitchell Research[78][A] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
KAConsulting (R)[79][R] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Prime Group[80][S] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[52] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[81] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College[82] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
616 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
Emerson College[83] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
48%[e] | 52% | – | ||||
CBS News/YouGov[84] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
Kaplan Strategies[85] | April 20–21, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 51% | 13% |
John Zogby Strategies[86][T] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Fox News[87] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group[89] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[r] |
The Bullfinch Group[90][E] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Spry Strategies (R)[91] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Wall Street Journal[92] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Echelon Insights[93][U] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Emerson College[94] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
50%[e] | 50% | – | ||||
CNN/SSRS[95] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Mitchell Research[96][A] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Quinnipiac University[97] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
North Star Opinion Research (R)[99][V] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
Kaplan Strategies[100] | February 22−23, 2024 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College[102] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
EPIC-MRA[103] | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Fox News[104] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Focaldata[105] | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 41% | 43% | 16%[s] |
– (LV) | 45% | 44% | 11%[t] | |||
– (LV) | 51%[e] | 49% | – | |||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[106] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
Target Insyght[107] | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Glengariff Group[108][L] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
John Zogby Strategies[109] | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS[110] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[111] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA[112] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[113] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Emerson College[114] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College[53] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[115] | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
Marketing Resource Group[117] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College[118] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[119][W] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research[120] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
EPIC-MRA[121] | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Emerson College[122] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
Mitchell Research[123][A] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[124][X] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
Prime Group[125][S] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
40% | 43% | 17%[u] | ||||
EPIC-MRA[126] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[127][X] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[128][Y] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA[129] | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College[130] | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College[131] | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA[132][N] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Blueprint Polling (D)[133] | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
Blueprint Polling (D)[134] | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[135][Z] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R)[136] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
EPIC-MRA[66] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
Emerson College[67][O] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][P] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[v] |
YouGov[137][J] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Echelon Insights[70][Q] | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 5%[w] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[v] |
EPIC-MRA[74] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
Emerson College[75] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Mitchell Research[76][A] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Mitchell Research[78][A] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
KAConsulting (R)[79][R] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[x] |
Prime Group[80][S] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[52] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[81] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[82] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[x] |
616 (LV) | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[x] | |||
Emerson College[83] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Fox News[87] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[88] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group[89] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Wall Street Journal[92] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Emerson College[94] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Mitchell Research[96][A] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University[97] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College[102] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News[104] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[138] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[139] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[65][K] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
1983 Labs[140] | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[v] |
P2 Insights[141][AA] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[77] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
636 (LV) | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | |||
P2 Insights[142][AA] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 45% | 7% | 11% |
Spry Strategies (R)[91] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[143] | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[144] | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[145] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College[146] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[64][M] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[147] | July 16–18, 2024 | 437 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 10%[v] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[148] | July 8–10, 2024 | 465 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 9%[v] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[149] | June 8–11, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 36% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 18%[v] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[150] | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov[84] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS[95] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS[110] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[151] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[122] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[86][T] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[86][T] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Glengariff Group[108][L] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[49] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
Glengariff Group[62][L] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Emerson College/The Hill[152] | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Glengariff Group[108][L] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Marketing Resource Group[117] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[64][M] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[49] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[104] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Glengariff Group[108][L] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
CNN/SSRS[110] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA[112] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College[146] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[104] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[145] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS[110] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College[146] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research[120] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Mitchell Research[123][A] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[124][X] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA[126] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[127][X] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[145] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]Incumbent United States President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[153]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 625,221 | 81.1% | 115 | 115 | |
Uncommitted | 101,623 | 13.2% | 2 | 2 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 22,865 | 3.0% | |||
Dean Phillips | 20,684 | 2.7% | |||
Write-in votes | 178 | <0.1% | |||
Total: | 770,571 | 100% | 117 | 23 | 140 |
Republican primary
[edit]Former United States President Donald Trump won the Republican primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[153]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 761,163 | 68.12% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
Nikki Haley | 297,124 | 26.59% | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Uncommitted | 33,649 | 3.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 13,456 | 1.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 4,794 | 0.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,702 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley | 2,348 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,077 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 1,117,313 | 100.00% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Michigan
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Candidate has suspended campaign
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
"ANP1""Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
ANP1
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
- ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Kishore (I) & Terry (C) with 0% each
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ a b c d e f Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets spot on Michigan's ballot as Natural Law Party nominee". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
- ^ Doherty, Erin (August 27, 2024). "Michigan denies RFK Jr.'s escape from presidential ballot". Axios. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "RFK Jr. endorses Trump after weeks of back-channel courtship". NBC News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ Pellish, Aaron; Dovere, Edward-Isaac (August 23, 2024). "RFK Jr. suspends presidential campaign". CNN Politics. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ "Ballot Access Map - Jill Stein 2024". jillstein2024ballotaccess.com. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ McFadden, Alyce; Robinson, Taylor; Abraham, Leanne; O’Brien, Rebecca Davis (April 29, 2024). "Where R.F.K. Jr. and Independent Presidential Candidates Are On the Ballot". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Michigan Candidate Listing". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "Write-in Candidate Declaration of Intent instructions" (PDF). Election Officials' Manual. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". The Hill.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
- ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". CNalysis.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics.
- ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
- ^ a b Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
- ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest in Michigan, September 2024 - Harris +5 Over Trump in Michigan". Marist Poll. September 19, 2024.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States". Quinnipiac University Poll. September 18, 2024.
- ^ "Michigan Survey: Trump Leads Harris by One Point; Within Margin of Error (See Story Below Chart)". InsiderAdvantage. September 12, 2024.
- ^ a b "Trump – Harris Remain Tied in 2-Way Harris Leads by 1% in a 8-Way - Post Debate" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. September 13, 2024.
- ^ "Michigan IVF Poll Results". co/efficient. September 6, 2024.
- ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (September 8, 2024). "Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate". CBS News.
- ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
- ^ "Michigan Statewide Poll: Rogers within striking distance of Slotkin as Republicans gain ground across the state". Cygnal. September 12, 2024.
- ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
- ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (August 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump essentially tied in Michigan". ActiVote. Retrieved August 28, 2024.
- ^ a b "EPIC-MRA STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE & LIKELY 2024 NOVEMBER VOTERS" (PDF). WOOD-TV. August 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
- ^ a b Ekins, Emily (September 9, 2024). "New Poll: WI, PA, & MI Voters Believe US Is Too Involved in Foreign Wars and World Affairs, Most Worry WWIII Approaching". Cato Institute.
- ^ a b "New Polling: A Slight Harris Lead in Michigan, But Issues Favor Trump". American Greatness. August 23, 2024.
- ^ a b "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
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