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Opinion polling for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to September 30th, 2023.

Electoral polling

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Graphical summary

[edit]
A LOESS graph displaying the polls for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election.

Voting intention estimates

[edit]

Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.

Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties (lacking in this year's election). 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.

2023

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Legend
  •   Exit poll
Polling firm Date Sample
size
OĽaNO and Friends Smer SR ĽSNS PS SASKA KDH MF Alliance Modrí, Most–Híd Democrats SNS Hlas REP Others
OĽaNO SMK/MKP MKÖ–MKS Most–Híd Modrí DV Hlas
2023 elections 30 Sep 2023 2,967,896 8.90% 22.95% 2.21% 0.84% 17.96% 6.32% 6.82% 0.12% 4.39% 0.27% 2.93% 5.63% 14.70% 4.75% 1.21%
Focus[1] 30 Sep 2023 8.0% 21.9% 23.5% 6.4% 5.3% 4.3% 3.0% 4.4% 12.2% 6.0% 5.0%
Median[2] 30 Sep 2023 16,805 9.5% 19.1% 3.3% 20.0% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 3.4% 5.4% 11.2% 6.1% 5.0%
28 Sep 2023 Election silence starting two days before election day
Median[3] 25–26 Sep 2023 1,004 6.2%
0
19.8%
40
4.1%
0
19.3%
39
7.4%
15
7.7%
16
2.5%
0
2.1%
0
3.8%
0
4.8%
0
11.9%
24
8.0%
16
2.4%
Focus[4] 22–26 Sep 2023 1,017 8.2%
15
18.0%
33
4.1%
0
1.7%
0
16.6%
30
5.8%
10
6.5%
12
0.6%
0
3.5%
0
0.7%
0
4.0%
0
6.4%
11
13.7%
25
7.7%
14
2.5%[a]
AKO[5] 20–26 Sep 2023 1,000 9.4%
16
17.7%
30
5.1%
8
0.3%
0
18.0%
30
7.3%
12
6.1%
10
0.6%
0
2.8%
0
1.0%
0
4.3%
0
6.0%
10
15.0%
25
5.4%
9
1.0%[b]
Ipsos[6] 22–25 Sep 2023 1,000 8.2%
14
20.6%
36
4.0%
0
1.6%
0
19.8%
34
7.0%
12
5.9%
10
0.1%
0
3.4%
0
0.6%
0
3.3%
0
5.7%
10
11.9%
21
7.6%
13
0.4%
SANEP[7] 17–25 Sep 2023 1,697 6.0%
0
22.6%
41
5.5%
10
1.4%
0
16.1%
29
5.4%
10
5.1%
9
3.3%
0
1.3%
0
3.4%
0
6.0%
11
15.3%
27
7.4%
13
0.7%
NMS[8] 21–24 Sep 2023 1,411 9.5% 19.4% 5.2% 1.8% 19.7% 5.7% 5.4% 0.3% 3.1% 1.1% 2.3% 5.4% 10.5% 8.5% 2.1%[c]
Polis Slovakia[9] 16–20 Sep 2023 1,110 5.7%
0
24.4%
42
5.3%
9
1.9%
0
15.1%
26
6.4%
11
5.7%
9
0.6%
0
5.4%
9
1.2%
0
2.0%
0
5.8%
10
12.6%
22
6.8%
12
1.1%[d]
Ipsos[10] 15–19 Sep 2023 1,026 8.2%
15
20.3%
36
4.2%
0
2.6%
0
17.2%
31
6.1%
11
5.3%
9
0.6%
0
4.0%
0
0.9%
0
3.4%
0
5.6%
10
13.1%
23
8.6%
15
0.9%
SANEP[11] 10–15 Sep 2023 1,782 6.0%
0
22.2%
43
5.9%
11
1.7%
0
15.7%
30
4.8%
0
5.6%
11
2.8%
0
1.2%
0
3.1%
0
5.8%
11
15.2%
29
7.5%
15
2.5%
Focus [12] 6–13 Sep 2023 1,001 6.3%
0
18.9%
37
4.9%
0
1.8%
0
16.5%
33
5.1%
10
6.2%
12
0.8%
0
3.6%
0
1.5%
0
3.7%
0
6.4%
13
14.6%
29
8.0%
16
1.7%[e]
AKO[13] 5–11 Sep 2023 1,000 7.0%
12
19.4%
32
5.3%
9
0.6%
0
18.2%
31
7.4%
12
6.0%
10
0.3%
0
2.9%
0
1.4%
0
3.5%
0
6.0%
10
15.1%
25
5.2%
9
1.7%[f]
NMS[14] 5–9 Sep 2023 1,410 6.1% 22.0% 5.8% 1.0% 18.1% 4.2% 4.7% 0.4% 3.2% 0.9% 3.8% 7.3% 11.4% 8.3% 2.8%[g]
Polis Slovakia[15] 1–6 Sep 2023 1,002 5.4% 24.5% 5.8% 14.6% 6.8% 5.4% 1.2% 6.0% 12.8% 7.6% 9.9%
SANEP[16] 27 Aug–2 Sep 2023 1,635 6.5%
0
21.4%
38
5.9%
11
2.0%
0
15.6%
28
6.1%
11
6.0%
11
2.7%
0
1.2%
0
3.0%
0
5.5%
10
15.0%
26
8.4%
15
0.7%
Median[17] 25–31 Aug 2023 1,002 7.1%
12
17.8%
30
8.2%
13
2.3%
0
17.8%
30
6.7%
11
7.3%
12
3.6%
0
5.3%
9
9.4%
16
10.2%
17
4.4%
Median[18] 21–24 Aug 2023 1,005 6.2%
0
20.2%
37
5.8%
10
2.4%
0
17.6%
32
7.3%
13
6.7%
12
4.1%
0
5.3%
10
10.0%
18
10.0%
18
4.4%
Polis Slovakia[19] 11–16 Aug 2023 1,009 5.6%
0
23.4%
41
5.3%
9
2.2%
0
14.2%
25
6.5%
11
5.2%
9
1.1%
0
5.3%
9
1.8%
0
2.3%
0
6.1%
11
12.9%
23
6.6%
12
1.5%[h]
Focus[20] 9–16 Aug 2023 1,009 6.4%
0
20.0%
37
5.1%
10
2.1%
0
15.0%
28
6.1%
11
6.1%
11
0.7%
0
3.4%
0
1.7%
0
3.1%
0
5.3%
10
14.2%
27
8.8%
16
2.0%
Ipsos[21] 10–14 Aug 2023 1,003 7.7%
13
19.7%
34
5.5%
9
2.9%
0
16.9%
29
5.7%
10
6.2%
10
0.7%
0
3.6%
0
1.4%
0
2.9%
0
5.1%
9
13.3%
23
7.9%
13
0.5%
AKO[22] 7–14 Aug 2023 1,000 7.2%
12
19.2%
32
5.7%
9
0.3%
0
17.8%
30
6.6%
11
6.2%
10
0.8%
0
2.5%
0
2.1%
0
2.9%
0
5.9%
10
15.0%
25
6.3%
11
1.4%[i]
SANEP[23] 6–13 Aug 2023 1,726 6.7%
0
22.0%
40
6.2%
11
1.8%
0
15.8%
28
6.0%
11
5.9%
11
2.9%
0
1.2%
0
3.1%
0
5.4%
10
13.0%
24
8.1%
15
1.9%
NMS[24] 1–7 Aug 2023 1,416 6.3% 23.3% 5.6% 2.8% 17.0% 4.5% 5.0% 0.4% 3.0% 1.6% 2.6% 6.0% 11.5% 7.5% 2.6%[j]
Ipsos[25] 26 Jul–1 Aug 2023 1,001 7.9% 20.3% 5.6% 2.2% 16.9% 6.7% 5.4% 0.5% 2.2% 1.6% 2.6% 5.2% 13.4% 8.8%
SANEP[26] 23–30 Jul 2023 1,675 6.9%
0
20.9%
38
6.4%
12
1.4%
0
15.5%
28
6.1%
11
6.0%
11
2.7%
0
1.1%
0
3.3%
0
5.2%
9
14.1%
25
8.8%
16
4.0%
AKO[27] 24–28 Jul 2023 1,000 6.7%
0
19.9%
36
6.1%
11
1.2%
0
16.4%
30
6.6%
12
6.0%
11
0.9%
0
2.2%
0
1.5%
0
2.2%
0
5.8%
10
15.2%
28
6.7%
12
2.6%[k]
Polis Slovakia[28] 22–27 Jul 2023 1,034 6.2%
0
23.1%
44
4.5%
0
3.1%
0
13.6%
26
5.2%
10
5.5%
10
1.6%
0
5.4%
10
2.5%
0
3.0%
0
5.4%
10
12.5%
24
8.4%
16
Focus [29] 21–26 Jul 2023 1,024 6.2%
0
18.1%
35
5.6%
11
2.3%
0
14.3%
27
5.2%
10
5.6%
11
1.2%
0
4.0% 1.8% 3.8%
0
5.1%
9
16.0%
31
8.7%
16
[l]
Median[30] 21–26 Jul 2023 1,010 5.3% 21.5% 7.4% 17.1% 6.5% 6.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.2% 12.1% 9.7% 4.2%
Ipsos[31] 17–21 Jul 2023 1,005 7.1% 19.4% 6.4% 2.6% 15.9% 5.0% 5.9% 0.8% 3.5% 1,8% 2.1% 5.0% 14.9% 8.6% 1.1%
Median[32] 19–21 Jul 2023 1,008 5.5%
0
20.1%
38
6.1%
12
2.3%
0
19.1%
36
6.1%
12
6.5%
12
2.5%
0
4.2%
0
4.1%
0
11.1%
21
10.0%
19
2.4%
0
AKO[33] 10–17 Jul 2023 1,000 7.2%
12
18.1%
31
6.2%
10
1.7%
0
15.4%
26
7.6%
13
5.9%
10
1.4%
0
1.7%
0
1.3%
0
2.2%
0
5.1%
9
16.5%
28
6.8%
11
SANEP[34] 9–16 Jul 2023 1,542 8.5%
15
18.9%
32
6.4%
11
13.8%
24
6.7%
11
6.0%
10
5.1%
7
15.5%
26
8.0%
14
NMS[35] 4–9 Jul 2023 1,413 6.9% 20.6% 5.3% 2.9% 15.6% 4.7% 5.7% 0.4% 3.4% 1.3% 2.8% 4.6% 11.4% 10.4% [m]
2 Jul 2023 OĽaNO, For the People and Christian Union form an electoral coalition
SANEP[36] 21–28 Jun 2023 1,671 6.7%
13
18.6%
34
6.8%
13
13.4%
22
6.4%
13
6.2%
12
16.5%
27
8.2%
16
Focus[37] 21–28 Jun 2023 1,012 6.0%
10
0.7%
0
19.0%
33
6.1%
11
2.1%
0
13.5%
24
5.0%
9
6.0%
10
1.4%
0
3.9%
0
1.6%
0
3.6%
0
5.5%
9
16.3%
28
9.0%
16
Median[38] 15 May–20 Jun 2023 1,036 7.1%
13
1.5%
0
18.0%
34
7.0%
13
3.0%
0
11.6%
22
6.6%
13
6.5%
12
4.7%
0
4.6%
0
14.1%
27
8.2%
16
7.1%
Ipsos[39] 12–16 Jun 2023 1,001 6.4%
11
18.9%
34
7.2%
13
15.5%
28
7.2%
13
5.6%
10
3.1%
0
4.0%
0
4.3%
0
14.8%
26
8.3%
15
AKO[40] 6–9 June 2023 1,000 7.1%
13
0.6%
0
19.0%
34
6.2%
11
1.0%
0
14.4%
25
7.8%
14
6.5%
11
2.1%
0
1.3%
0
1.3%
0
2.8%
0
4.7%
0
17.2%
30
7.0%
12
[n]
NMS[41] 2–8 Jun 2023 1,446 6.3% 1.8% 19.6% 6.8% 3.1% 15.2% 4.7% 6.0% 0.8% 3.4% 1.1% 1.8% 3.9% 14.1% 9.4% [o]
Focus [42] 24–31 May 2023 1,012 5.3%
10
1.1%
0
18.0%
34
6.6%
12
2.5%
0
12.5%
23
5.3%
10
5.5%
10
1.1%
0
4.0%
0
1.5%
0
1.0%
0
3.2%
0
4.7%
0
17.4%
33
9.7%
18
0.6%
Ipsos [43] 16–19 May 2023 1,004 7.0% 2.2% 16.9% 7.5% 1.8% 13.3% 6.1% 5.2% 0.7% 3.8% 1.5% 3.4% 3.8% 15.6% 9.0% 2.1%
NMS[44] 3–17 May 2023 1,233 7.3% 1.0% 21.3% 5.9% 1.7% 14.2% 6.2% 5.5% 0.7% 2.6% 0.9% 2.7% 3.1% 14.0% 8.7% [p]
16 May 2023 Part of Most–Híd leaves Alliance
AKO[45] 4–10 May 2023 1,000 7.4%
13
1.9%
0
18.0%
32
5.6%
10
0.7%
0
14.3%
26
8.3%
15
6.6%
12
3.1%
0
1.1%
0
1.1%
0
3.4%
0
4.4%
0
16.5%
30
6.9%
12
Polis Slovakia[46] 29 Apr–6 May 2023 1,011 6.6%
12
1.0%
0
24.2%
40
6.9%
12
2.4%
0
11.7%
20
6.5%
11
5.8%
10
0.6%
0
3.0%
0
2.1%
0
4.9%
0
17.0%
30
7.2%
13
[q]
Median[47] 1 Apr–6 May 2023 1,943 7.9%
15
1.8%
0
16.3%
30
9.2%
17
2.5%
0
11.6%
21
8.2%
15
6.8%
13
2.5%
0
4.0%
0
3.5%
0
13.9%
26
7.0%
11
28 Apr 2023 Good Choice decided to run with Hlas
Focus[48] 19 Apr–26 Apr 2023 1,013 5.6%
10
1.0%
0
17.7%
33
6.1%
11
2.7%
0
13.1%
25
5.2%
10
6.0%
11
1.7%
0
4.3%
0
3.6%
0
4.0%
0
1.1%
0
17.0%
32
9.8%
18
Ipsos[49] 10 Apr–14 Apr 2023 1,000 7.0% 1.8% 16.8% 6.4% 2.3% 14.1% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 3.6% 4.2% 16.2% 8.8%
AKO[50] 4 Apr–11 Apr 2023 1,000 5.8%
10
1.8%
0
17.9%
33
7.1%
13
1.4%
0
14.1%
26
8.3%
15
6.4%
12
2.1%
0
2.1%
0
4.1%
0
4.3%
0
0.5%
0
16.3%
29
6.6%
12
NMS[51] 28 Mar–2 Apr 2023 1,018 5.2% 2.0% 22.4% 5.7% 1.9% 12.8% 5.1% 6.3% 1.3% 3.0% 0.8% 3.0% 2.4% 14.2% 9.9% [r]
Focus[52] 14–22 Mar 2023 1,018 4.3%
0
1.2%
0
17.6%
33
7.7%
14
2.7%
0
12.1%
23
5.1%
10
5.8%
11
1.5%
0
4.7%
0
5.0%
9
3.4%
0
1.4%
0
17.1%
32
9.6%
18
AKO[53] 12 Mar 2023 1,000 5.0% 1.6% 17.6% 6.8% 1.2% 15.1% 8.1% 6.7% 2.2% 1.9% 4.9% 4.2% 1.0% 16.1% 6.8%
Ipsos[54] Mar 2023 1,017 4.8% 2.9% 16.2% 8.5% 2.2% 11.1% 6.4% 5.7% 3.8% 4.8% 3.0% 16.0% 8.6%
7 Mar 2023 Modrá koalícia refounded as Democrats
Median[55] 1 Feb–5 Mar 2023 1,076 8.5% 2.2% 19.5% 7.4% 3.1% 11.4% 9.2% 6.3% 2.6% 4.2% 14.5% 6.1%
AKO[56] 7–13 Feb 2023 1,000 7.3%
13
2.3%
0
16.3%
29
7.1%
13
1.5%
0
13.7%
24
7.9%
14
6.9%
12
2.8%
0
2.1%
0
1.3%
0
4.0%
0
18.9%
33
6.6%
12
0.7%[s]
Focus[57] 1–8 Feb 2023 1,017 6.4%
12
1.0%
0
14.6%
27
7.7%
14
2.9%
0
11.0%
20
5.3%
10
6.9%
13
1.9%
0
4.5%
0
2.0%
0
3.6%
0
1.4%
0
20.8%
38
8.5%
16
1.5%[t]
Median[58] 9 Jan–5 Feb 2023 1,029 8.7% 2.0% 17.9% 10.9% 2.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.4% 4.0% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 15.6% 4.5%
Polis Slovakia[59] 28 Jan–1 Feb 2023 1,002 7.2%
13
3.1%
0
21.0%
39
6.5%
12
2.3%
0
9.5%
17
5.2%
10
5.0%
10
0.6%
0
4.7%
0
1.0%
0
3.8%
0
3.5%
0
19.4%
36
7.1%
13
[u]
27 Jan 2023 SPOLU refounded as Modrá koalícia
21 Jan 2023 2023 Slovakian constitutional referendum
Ipsos[60] 18–20 Jan 2023 1,010 8.1% 2.0% 13.6% 8.0% 3.2% 12.6% 6.9% 6.5% 3.2% 2.9% 18.2% 8.1%
AKO[61] 10–16 Jan 2023 1,000 8.7%
15
2.9%
0
15.9%
28
6.8%
12
1.9%
0
13.2%
24
9.1%
16
6.2%
11
1.9%
0
2.1%
0
0.1%
0
4.1%
0
0.6%
0
17.6%
31
7.3%
13
1.6%[v]
Median[62] 19–23 Dec 2022 1,006 6.3% 2.0% 16.7% 6.0% 2.0% 14.1% 6.5% 6.1% 2.7% 19.1% 9.6%

2022

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS SPOLU SaS KDH MF ALI SNS DV HLAS-SD REP Others
M-H SMK-MKP Ö-S
Focus[63] 16–20 Dec 2022 1,180 7.4%
14
16.6%
30
8.2%
15
3.1%
0
12.8%
23
1.0%
0
5.6%
10
2.2%
0
5.9%
11
1.1%
0
4.4%
0
3.4%
0
1.1%
0
19.0%
35
6.9%
12
1.3%
15 Dec 2022 Heger Cabinet loses vote of no-confidence
Ako[64] 6–12 Dec 2022 1,000 8.0%
14
16.1%
28
7.7%
13
1.7%
0
11.8%
21
0.2%
0
9.9%
17
1.7%
0
5.5%
10
1.3%
0
3.1%
0
4.0%
0
0.9%
0
20.2%
35
6.6%
12
1.4%[w]
Focus[65] 30 Nov–7 Dec 2022 1,007 7.0%
12
15.8%
27
7.3%
13
3.0%
0
10.3%
18
0.7%
0
7.7%
13
2.7%
0
6.0%
10
1.6%
0
5.1%
9
3.7%
0
1.1%
0
19.9%
34
7.9%
14
0.2%[x]
Polis Slovakia[66] 25–30 Nov 2022 1,058 6.1% 20.0% 5.5% 2.1% 8.8% 7.0% 3.1% 5.0% 4.8% 3.6% 2.9% 20.1% 7.2% 3.8%[y]
Ipsos[67] 22–28 Nov 2022 1,023 8.0% 15.6% 7.0% 2.9% 10.4% 7.8% 3.4% 7.4% 3.8% 2.6% 19.7% 6.0% 5.4%
AKO[68] 8–11 Nov 2022 1,000 7.5% 16.0% 6.9% 1.9% 11.5% 0.4% 10.8% 1.9% 6.1% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 1.5% 19.5% 6.3% 1.1%
Median[69] 25 Oct–8 Nov 2022 1,011 3.9% 14.2% 5.8% 3.9% 9.8% 6.5% 2.4% 5.8% 18.6% 11.8% 17.3%
Ipsos[70] 18–21 Oct 2022 1,018 7.9% 14.8% 7.5% 2.6% 10.9% 1.0% 8.5% 2.8% 6.5% 1.0% 2.9% 3.0% 1.1% 20.2% 6.8% 2.5%
Focus[1] 21–27 Sep 2022 1,009 7.2%
13
15.3%
28
7.0%
13
2.9%
0
9.6%
18
0.7%
0
8.2%
15
2.4%
0
6.2%
11
1.7%
0
4.6%
0
3.9%
0
1.5%
0
20.3%
38
7.8%
14
Ipsos[71] 14–20 Sep 2022 1,018 7.8% 15.5% 7.5% 2.7% 11.6% 9.3% 1.7% 6.5% 2.1% 2.8% 18.3% 7.0% 7.2%
AKO 8 Sep–14 Sep 2022 1000 7.9%
14
15.0%
27
7.6%
13
2.3%
0
10.0%
18
12.9%
23
2.3%
0
6.2%
11
2.7%
0
4.2%
0
1.0%
0
19.3%
35
5.2%
9
4.4%
Polis
Slovakia[2]
28 Aug–4 Sep 2022 1,003 6.1%
11
19.1%
34
6.9%
12
3.4%
0
7.1%
13
0.2%
0
15.6%
28
5.1%
9
4.5%
0
3.4%
0
2.2%
0
17.0%
31
7.1%
13
2.3%[z]
AKO[72] 15–18 Aug 2022 1,000 8.4% 14.9% 6.6% 2.1% 9.9% 13.1% 2.1% 6.9% 2.5% 4.1% 1.2% 19.2% 5.3% 3.7%
Ipsos[73] 29 Jul–8 Aug 2022 1,038 7.8% 15.5% 6.4% 2.9% 11.4% 12.2% 3.0% 6.3% 2.1% 2.3% 17.2% 7.3% 5.6%
AKO[3] 7–14 Jul 2022 1,000 9.2%
16
14.6%
25
6.0%
10
1.5%
0
9.8%
17
14.7%
26
2.2%
0
7.2%
12
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
4.1%
0
1.5%
0
20.0%
35
5.4%
9
8.3%
6 Jul 2022 SaS terminates its coalition agreement with the other government parties.
Focus[4] 20–27 Jun 2022 1,005 7.1%
13
14.4%
26
7.6%
14
3.3%
0
9.1%
17
1.0%
0
9.6%
18
2.1%
0
6.7%
12
1.8%
0
4.1%
0
4.0%
0
1.2%
0
20.5%
38
6.8%
12
8.7%[aa]
AKO[5] 7–10 Jun 2022 1,000 8.5%
15
14.8%
26
5.7%
10
1.8%
0
9.9%
17
14.3%
25
2.2%
0
7.3%
13
1.9%
0
1.9%
0
4.2%
0
20.2%
35
5.2%
9
8.2%
Focus[6] 25–31 May 2022 1,008 8.1%
15
14.9%
27
5.6%
10
2.8%
0
9.1%
17
1.1%
0
11.1%
20
3.1%
0
6.5%
12
1.1%
0
3.7%
0
3.7%
0
1.4%
0
20.3%
37
6.8%
12
8.0%
AKO[7] 10–16 May 2022 1,000 10.7%
18
13.5%
24
6.1%
10
1.1%
0
9.7%
17
14.3%
25
2.1%
0
7.7%
13
2.0%
0
2.4%
0
4.0%
0
1.5%
0
18.2%
32
6.2%
11
8.0%[ab]
Polis
Slovakia[8]
18–23 Apr 2022 1,003 7.8%
13
17.9%
31
7.2%
12
3.1%
0
5.7%
10
0.5%
0
13.2%
23
1.0%
0
5.3%
9
6.1%
11
3.1%
0
2.8%
0
17.9%
31
6.0%
10
8.8%[ac]
AKO[9] 5–11 Apr 2022 1,000 8.9%
16
14.5%
26
6.6%
12
3.0%
0
8.7%
15
0.6%
0
14.0%
25
2.0%
0
6.5%
11
2.1%
0
2.6%
0
3.9%
0
0.9%
0
18.9%
34
6.2%
11
8.1%[ad]
Focus[10] 30 Mar–6 Apr 2022 1,007 8.1%
15
15.1%
28
7.5%
14
4.5%
0
7.3%
14
0.6%
0
10.3%
19
2.5%
0
6.3%
12
1.6%
0
4.4%
0
3.6%
0
1.9%
0
19.0% 6.9%
13
8.1%
Median[11] 1–3 Mar 2022 1,000 10.7% 14.1% 6.7% 2.3% 11.0% 1.6% 13.2% 2.8% 6.8% 2.9% 1.1% 2.0% 14.1% 7.0% 8.4%
Focus[12] 22 Feb–1 Mar 2022 1,003 7.8%
14
15.6%
29
6.3%
12
3.8%
0
8.1%
15
12.0%
22
2.7%
0
6.0%
11
4.6%
0
3.8%
0
1.1%
0
18.5%
34
7.0%
13
7.6%
AKO[13] 8–14 Feb 2022 1,000 8.0%
14
14.5%
26
6.9%
12
2.5%
0
8.7%
16
1.2%
0
14.2%
22
2.3%
0
7.2%
13
0.3%
0
4.1%
0
3.8%
0
1.2%
0
17.5%
31
6.9%
12
7.2%[ae]
Median[14] 27 Jan–1 Feb 2022 1,006 9.5% 15.6% 5.7% 4.1% 10.6% 0.9% 13.5% 2.5% 5.0% 3.4% 3.3% 13.5% 5.6% 11.0%
Focus[15] 19–26 Jan 2022 1,017 8.0%
14
16.3%
30
6.1%
11
4.3%
0
8.3%
15
0.7%
0
11.1%
21
3.0%
0
5.8%
11
4.4%
0
3.9%
0
17.8%
33
7.8%
14
7.1%

2020–2021

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS-SPOLU SaS KDH ALI SNS DV HLAS-SD REP Others
PS SPOLU MKÖ-MKS M-H
MF SMK-MKP Ö-S
AKO[16] 10–17 Jan 2022 1,000 9.3%
17
13.8%
25
6.5%
12
2.9%
0
8.5%
15
0.8%
0
14.2%
25
2.2%
0
6.0%
11
0.5%
0
4.0%
0
3.6%
0
2.0%
0
18.0%
33
6.2%
11
8.4%[af]
AKO[17] 7–12 Dec 2021 1,000 9.0%
16
13.7%
25
6.5%
12
3.4%
0
8.6%
15
13.9%
25
2.4%
0
6.0%
11
3.7%
0
3.6%
0
2.2%
0
19.0%
35
5.9%
11
7.9%
Focus[18] 16–23 Nov 2021 1,005 7.9%
15
15.0%
28
6.1%
11
4.8%
0
7.7%
14
1.0%
0
11.5%
22
2.1%
0
6.1%
11
4.4%
0
3.6%
0
2.1%
0
19.2%
36
6.8%
13
8.4%
AKO[19] 8–16 Nov 2021 1,000 9.7%
18
13.0%
24
6.8%
13
3.5%
0
8.7%
16
0.9%
0
13.6%
25
2.2%
0
5.4%
10
1.0%
0
4.2%
0
3.6%
0
2.3%
0
18.5%
34
5.6%
10
8.8%
Focus[20] 20–27 Oct 2021 1,009 8.4%
15
15.5%
27
6.3%
11
3.8%
0
6.9%
12
1.1%
0
12.2%
21
2.8%
0
6.1%
11
5.2%
9
3.3%
0
2.2%
0
19.3%
34
5.5%
10
8.0%
Actly[21] 17–20 Oct 2021 1,006 6.8%
12
17.7%
32
9.4%
17
2.4%
0
5.9%
11
1.0%
0
10.5%
19
2.8%
0
5.9%
11
3.9%
0
3.1%
0
2.0%
0
21.0% 5.1%
9
8.6%[ag]
AKO[22] 4–7 Oct 2021 1,000 9.2%
17
13.8%
25
7.4%
13
2.3%
0
8.6%
16
1.2%
0
14.5%
26
2.1%
0
5.9%
11
0.5%
0
4.5%
0
3.6%
0
1.8%
0
18.2%
33
5.0%
9
8.5%[ah]
AKO[23] 6–13 Sep 2021 1,000 9.9%
18
13.9%
25
6.8%
12
2.7%
0
8.7%
15
0.8%
0
14.5%
26
1.7%
0
6.6%
12
1.1%
0
3.8%
0
3.5%
0
0.9%
0
18.8%
33
5.2%
9
7.4%[ai]
Focus[24] 1–7 Sep 2021 1,002 8.2%
14
14.4%
25
6.7%
12
4.6%
0
7.0%
12
11.7%
21
2.2%
0
6.1%
11
5.5%
10
18.5%
33
6.8%
12
8.3%
Median[25] 31 Aug–6 Sep 2021 1,018 10.0% 12.7% 7.2% 3.3% 8.6% 12.3% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.3% 5.4% 10.7%
AKO[26] 10–15 Aug 2021 1,000 9.8%
19
11.3%
22
6.6%
13
3.9%
0
8.9%
17
1.2%
0
14.7%
29
3.0%
0
6.3%
12
0.5%
0
3.3%
0
3.5%
0
1.5%
0
19.5%
38
4.5%
0
8.2%[aj]
AKO[27] 6–12 Jul 2021 1,000 8.8% 10.9% 7.8% 3.5% 8.4% 1.9% 13.8% 3.1% 6.2% 0.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.9% 20.8% 3.8%
7 Jul 2021 The Constitutional Court judges the opposition's snap election referendum unconstitutional[28]
AKO[29] 7–11 Jun 2021 1,000 9.0% 10.6% 7.8% 3.0% 8.3% 1.6% 13.9% 3.6% 5.3% 1.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.5% 21.0% 2.8%
Focus[30] 2–9 Jun 2021 1,011 8.2% 12.0% 7.6% 4.8% 6.3% 1.5% 12.8% 3.4% 5.8% 0.5% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 21.6% 4.6%
Focus[31] 11–19 May 2021 1,008 8.8% 11.8% 7.2% 4.9% 6.1% 1.3% 12.3% 3.5% 5.7% 0.9% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 22.4% 4.5%
AKO[32] 13–17 May 2021 1,000 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 2.1% 8.5% 1.6% 13.8% 4.0% 5.0% 0.6% 5.3 1.6% 3.0% 22.5% 3.5%
AKO[74] 12–17 Apr 2021 1,000 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 2.9% 8.3% 0.9% 13.8% 4.3% 4.5% 0.5% 4.2% 3.3% 3.1% 23.9% 3.1%
Focus[75] 31 Mar–7 Apr 2021 1,001 9.2% 10.9% 7.4% 4.3% 6.2% 0.8% 11.2% 4.8% 5.7% 0.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 22.3% 4.7%
1 Apr 2021 Appointment of the Heger's Cabinet following the agreement of the original government partners[33]
3–28 Mar 2021 Government crisis following government SaS and ZĽ's call for the resignation of the Prime Minister Igor Matovič[34]
AKO[76] 8–12 Mar 2021 1,000 13.1% 8.7% 5.9% 4.3% 8.0% 0.3% 14.3% 4.3% 5.2% 0.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 3.0% 2.8% 24.9%
Focus[77] 17–24 Feb 2021 1.018 10.4% 9.2% 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 0.6% 12.9% 5.2% 4.9% 0.4% 3.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 23.0%
AKO[78] 8–11 Feb 2021 1,000 13.8% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 7.2% 0.7% 15.1% 5.4% 4.9% 0.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 1.6% 25.0%
Focus[79] 12–19 Jan 2021 1,005 10.1% 9.1% 5.1% 9.7% 5.2% 1.0% 13.3% 4.2% 4.4% 3.3% 0.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.1% 24.3%
AKO[80] 17–19 Dec 2020 1,000 14.2% 9.0% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 0.5% 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 22.8%
Focus[81] 8–14 Dec 2020 1,000 11% 9.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6.0% 0.4% 15.8% 4.4% 4.9% 3.3% 0.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 20.1%
Focus[82] 18–25 Nov 2020 1,004 14.0% 9.5% 6.1% 9.6% 5.9% 1.0% 12.1% 4.1% 5.1% 3.3% 0.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 19.1%
Focus[83] 7–15 Oct 2020 1,014 15.1% 10.5% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 0.3% 10.7% 4.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 18.7%
AKO[84] 1–9 Oct 2020 1,000 15.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 1.8% 13.4% 4.2% 3.0% 0.3% 2.4% 0.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 18.8%
Focus[85] 26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 1,022 18.4%
35
10.9%
21
9.1%
17
8.5%
16
5.9%
11
0.6%
0
9.9%
19
3.9%
0
4.5%
0
3.1%
0
0.7%
0
1.7%
0
3.0%
0
1.9%
0
16.2%
31
AKO[86] 7–17 Jul 2020 1,000 23.5%
44
10.7%
20
6.4%
12
7.9%
15
5.2%
10
2.2%
0
9.4%
18
4.0%
0
3.0%
0
2.5%
0
1.0%
0
1.4%
0
2.6%
0
16.7%
31
Focus[87] 17–24 Jun 2020 1,009 21.2%
41
19.0%
37
12.8%
25
9.6%
18
6.2%
12
0.8%
0
9.2%
17
3.6%
0
4.6%
0
0.3%
0
3.7%
0
0.5%
0
1.5%
0
2.1%
0
2.4%
0
Focus[88] 14–21 May 2020 1,011 22.9%
43
21.6%
41
11.2%
21
9.7%
18
6.5%
12
0.2%
0
8.0%
15
4.3%
0
4.8%
0
4.2%
0
1.5%
0
1.4%
0
2.0%
0
Focus[89] 15–19 Apr 2020 1,016 24.4%
45
21.8%
40
11.5%
21
9.2%
17
7.6%
14
6.8%
13
3.2%
0
4.5%
0
2.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.6%
0
1.1%
0
AKO[90] 14–17 Apr 2020 1,000 29.9%
56
18.3%
34
10.0%
18
6.4%
12
6.9%
12
0.9%
0
9.7%
18
3.0%
0
3.7%
0
4.4%
0
0.6%
0
2.2%
0
2.2%
0
21 Mar 2020 Matovič's Cabinet appointed, following an agreement between OĽaNO, SR, SaS and ZĽ[35]
Focus[89] 18–21 Mar 2020 1,023 23.3% 21.6% 11.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.5% 1.3% 3.4% 2.4%
2020 elections 29 February 2020 25.0%
53
18.3%
38
8.2%
17
8.0%
17
7.0%
0
6.2%
13
5.8%
12
4.7%
0
3.9%
0
2.1%
0
3.2%
0
3.1%
0
Others
OĽaNO SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS SPOLU SaS KDH MF SMK-MKP Ö-S M-H SNS DV
HLAS-SD
REP
MKÖ-MKS
PS-SPOLU ALI

Leadership polling

[edit]

Confidence rating

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size
Matovič
OĽaNO
Fico
SMER–SSD
Kollár
SR
Kotleba
ĽSNS
Bihariová
PS
Sulík
SaS
Remišová
Majerský
KDH
Forró
ALI
Pellegrini
HLAS–SD
Uhrík
REP
22 Feb–1 Mar 2022 Focus 1,003 11% 26% 24% 14% 16% 27% 17% 19% 8% 39% 21%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ KSS 0.6%, SDKÚ-DS 0.4%, SRDCE 0.4%, Karma 0.3%, PRINCÍP 0.3%, Pirates 0.2%, My Slovensko 0.2%, Spravodlivosť 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%
  2. ^ KSS 0.3%, My Slovensko 0.3%, Spravodlivosť 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%
  3. ^ KSS 0.4%, SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.4%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.3%, Pirates 0.3%, Karma 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%, MySlovensko 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, SDKÚ–DS 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%
  4. ^ KSS 1.1%
  5. ^ Pirates 0.5%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, KSS 0.3%, Karma 0.2%, My Slovensko 0.2%, SRDCE 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.0%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%, Spravodlivosť 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%
  6. ^ KSS 0.3%, Spravodlivosť 0.3%, My Slovensko 0.3%, SRDCE 0.3%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, Pirates 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.0%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%, Karma 0.0%
  7. ^ SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.7%, KSS 0.4%, MySlovensko 0.3%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.2%, Vlastenecký blok 0.2%, Karma 0.2%, Pirates 0.2%, SDKÚ–DS 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%, SRDCE 0.1%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.0%
  8. ^ KSS 0.7%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.5%, Pirates 0.3%
  9. ^ Spravodlivosť 0.4%, SDKÚ-DS 0.4%, KSS 0.4%
  10. ^ SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.6%, KSS 0.5%, MySlovensko 0.3%, SDKÚ–DS 0.2%, Karma 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, PRINCÍP 0.2%, SRDCE 0.1%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.1%, Pirates 0.1%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%
  11. ^ SRDCE 0.9%, Spravodlivosť 0.4%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.4%, Pirates 0.3%, SDKÚ-DS 0.3%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.1%, KSS 0.1%, My Slovensko 0.1%, Princíp 0.0%, Vlastenecký blok 0.0%, Karma 0.0%
  12. ^ Pirates 1.2%
  13. ^ SDKÚ–DS 0.7%, SPRAVODLIVOSŤ 0.4%, Karma 0.4%, Spoločne občania Slovenska 0.3%, Pirates 0.2%, MySlovensko 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%, Vlastenecký blok 0.1%, PRINCÍP 0.1%
  14. ^ Christian Union 0.3%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, National Coalition / Independent Candidates 0.2%, Práca slovenského národa 0.2%
  15. ^ Jablko 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Socialisti.sk 0.2%
  16. ^ NK/NEKA 1.5%, Jablko 0.9%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.5%, Socialisti.sk 0.4%, Life – National Party 0.2%
  17. ^ Socialisti.sk 0.1%
  18. ^ NK/NEKA 1.9%
  19. ^ National Coalition 0.5%
  20. ^ Slovak PATRIOT 0.6%, National Coalition 0.4%, Christian Union 0.2%, Domov – národná strana 0.2%, Jablko 0.1%
  21. ^ Life – National Party 1.3%, National Coalition 0.6%, Socialisti.sk 0.4%, Homeland 0.2%
  22. ^ National Coalition 0.6%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.4%, Socialisti.sk 0.3%, Democratic Party (Slovakia, 2006) [sk] 0.1%, Life – National Party 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.1%
  23. ^ National Coalition 0.8%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.2%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.2%
  24. ^ Communist Party of Slovakia 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.1%
  25. ^ Life – National Party 2.8%, National Coalition 0.5%, Socialisti.sk 0.5%
  26. ^ Life – National Party 2.2%
  27. ^ Umiernení 1.2%
  28. ^ Umiernení 1.5%
  29. ^ Homeland 1.9%, Life – National Party 0.5%
  30. ^ Green Party 0.2%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.2%, Civic Conservative Party 0.2%
  31. ^ Umiernených 1.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.3%, Demokratická strana 0.2%, Life – National Party 0.2%
  32. ^ Umiernených 2.0%, Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Naša vlasť 0.3%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Národná koalícia 0.2%
  33. ^ Life – National Party 1.0%, Christian Union 1.0%
  34. ^ Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.5%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.2%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.2%
  35. ^ Life – National Party 0.5%, Demokratická strana 0.2%, MÁME TOHO DOSŤ 0.2%, Socialisti.sk 0.1%, Green Party 0.1%
  36. ^ Socialisti.sk 0.5%, Communist Party of Slovakia 0.3%, Life – National Party 0.2%, Green Party 0.2%, STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI 0.2%, Slovenské Hnutie Obrody 0.1%

References

[edit]
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