Jump to content

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 1 3
Seats won 3 1
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 859,418 762,271
Percentage 52.42% 46.5%
Swing Increase 5.88% Decrease 4.02%

     Democratic hold
     Republican hold      Republican gain

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

[edit]
Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Republican Party 4 859,418 52.42% 3 Increase 2 75.00%
Democratic Party 4 762,271 46.5% 1 Decrease 2 25.00%
Libertarian Party 1 15,361 0.94% 0 Steady 0.00%
Write-in 2,413 0.15% 0 Steady 0.00%
Total 9 1,639,463 100.0% 4 Steady 100.00%
Popular vote
Republican
52.42%
Democratic
46.5%
Other
1.09%
House seats
Republican
75.00%
Democratic
25.00%

By district

[edit]
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 212,088 51.25% 201,347 48.65% 434 0.10% 413,869 100% Republican gain
District 2 196,964 49.912% 196,958 49.910% 703 0.178% 394,625 100% Republican gain
District 3 212,997 47.55% 219,205 48.94% 15,745 3.51% 447,947 100% Democratic hold
District 4 237,369 61.97% 144,761 37.80% 892 0.23% 383,022 100% Republican hold
Total 859,418 52.42% 762,271 46.50% 17,774 1.08% 1,639,463 100%

District 1

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Ashley Hinson Abby Finkenauer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 212,088 201,347
Percentage 51.2% 48.7%

County results
Hinson:      50–60%      60–70%
Finkenauer:      50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

Abby Finkenauer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representatives

Ashley Hinson
Republican

The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Abby Finkenauer

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[3]

Federal officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Finkenauer—100%
  •   Finkenauer—≥90%
Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) 72,474 99.3
Write-in 482 0.7
Total votes 72,956 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Defeated in primary
[edit]
  • Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman[14]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Hinson—80–90%
  •   Hinson—70–80%
  •   Hinson—60–70%
  •   Hinson—50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson 38,552 77.8
Republican Thomas Hansen 10,845 21.9
Write-in 152 0.3
Total votes 49,549 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Abby Finkenauer Ashley Hinson
1 Sep. 7, 2020 Iowa PBS [19] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Lean D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean D October 15, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26] Lean D July 26, 2020
The Economist[27] Likely D October 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Abby
Finkenauer (D)
Ashley
Hinson (R)
Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University[28] October 15–20, 2020 352 (RV) ± 5.2% 52% 44% 4%[b]
352 (LV)[c] 54% 44%
352 (LV)[d] 56% 42%
Basswood Research (R)[29][A] September 26–28, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%[e]
Monmouth University[30] July 25 – August 3, 2020 391 (RV) ± 5% 51% 41% 9%[f]
391 (LV)[c] 52% 41% 8%[g]
391 (LV)[d] 52% 40% 8%[g]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[31][B] March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44%
Harper Polling (R)[32][C] January 11–12, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 44%[h] 40% 15%
40%[i] 48%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33] October 26–29, 2020 – (LV)[j] ± 7.1% 36% 51% 9%[k] 5%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34] September 14–17, 2020 – (LV)[m] ± 7.8% 47% 41%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35] June 7–10, 2020 – (LV)[n] <= ± 7.7% 48% 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[36][B] March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 37% 44%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37] March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[o] 46% 49%
Harper Polling (R)[32][C] January 11–12, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 43%[h] 44%

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson 212,088 51.2
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) 201,347 48.7
Write-in 434 0.1
Total votes 413,869 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 2

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018  () 2022 →
 
Nominee Mariannette Miller-Meeks Rita Hart
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 196,964 196,958
Percentage 49.91% 49.91%

County results
Miller-Meeks:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Hart:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018.[1] On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election.[39]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018[40]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Newman Abuissa, engineer[41]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Rita Hart

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[3]

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

State Senators

State representatives

Local politicians

Party officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Hart—100%
  •   Hart—≥90%
Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rita Hart 67,039 99.6
Write-in 271 0.4
Total votes 67,310 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Defeated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Federal officials

Statewide politicians

Organizations

Bobby Schilling

Federal politicians

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Miller-Meeks—70–80%
  •   Miller-Meeks—60–70%
  •   Miller-Meeks—50–60%
  •   Miller-Meeks—40–50%
  •   Miller-Meeks—30–40%
  •   Schilling—40–50%
  •   Schilling—50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks 23,052 47.6
Republican Bobby Schilling 17,582 36.3
Republican Steven Everly 2,806 5.8
Republican Rick Phillips 2,444 5.1
Republican Tim Borchardt 2,370 4.9
Write-in 161 0.3
Total votes 48,415 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Rita Hart Mariannette Miller-Meeks
1 Oct. 8, 2020 The Gazette
KCRG-TV
KYOU-TV
Chris Earl
James Lynch
[80] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Lean D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean D September 25, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26] Likely D July 26, 2020
The Economist[27] Likely D October 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Rita
Hart (D)
Mariannette
Miller-Meeks (R)
Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University[28] October 15–20, 2020 355 (RV) ± 5.2% 49% 43% 8%[p]
355 (LV)[c] 51% 42%
355 (LV)[d] 54% 41%
Monmouth University[30] July 25 – August 3, 2020 374 (RV) ± 5.1% 47% 44% 9%[f]
374 (LV)[c] 44% 48% 8%[g]
374 (LV)[d] 45% 48% 7%[q]
Harper Polling (R)[81][D] July 26–28, 2020 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 41% 16%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33] October 26–29, 2020 – (LV)[j] ± 6.9% 40% 41% 11%[r] 8%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34] September 14–17, 2020 – (LV)[s] ± 8.7% 50% 46%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35] June 7–10, 2020 – (LV)[t] <= ± 7.7% 53% 35%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37] March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[u] 41% 49%

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks 196,964 49.912
Democratic Rita Hart 196,958 49.910
Write-in 703 0.178
Total votes 394,625 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes.[82] On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act.[83] On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021, with the rest of the incoming new Congress members.[84] Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.[85] Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021.[86] This was the closest House race in 2020 and one of the closest House races in a century.

District 3

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Cindy Axne David Young
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 219,205 212,997
Percentage 48.9% 47.6%

County results
Axne:      50–60%
Young:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Cindy Axne
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Cindy Axne
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Axne—100%
  •   Axne—≥90%
Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 76,681 99.2
Write-in 623 0.8
Total votes 77,304 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Defeated in primary
[edit]
  • Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran[88]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Young—70–80%
  •   Young—60–70%
  •   Young—50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Young 39,103 69.5
Republican Bill Schafer 16,904 30.1
Write-in 227 0.4
Total votes 56,234 100.0

Third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian)[92]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Lean D November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Lean D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Lean D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean D October 15, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26] Lean D July 26, 2020
The Economist[27] Lean D October 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Cindy
Axne (D)
David
Young (R)
Bryan
Holder (L)
Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University[28] October 15–20, 2020 426 (RV) ± 4.8% 52% 43% 2%[v]
426 (LV)[c] 53% 42%
426 (LV)[d] 55% 41%
Monmouth University[30] July 25 – August 3, 2020 507 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 42% 2% 8%[p]
507 (LV)[c] 50% 42% 8%[w]
507 (LV)[d] 52% 41% 7%[x]
The Tarrance Group (R)[93][B] July 7–9, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 44% 6% 7%[y]
The Tarrance Group (R)[94][B] March 10–12, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% 5%[z]
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33] October 26–29, 2020 – (LV)[j] ± 6.6% 45% 39% 8%[aa] 9%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34] September 14–17, 2020 – (LV)[ab] ± 7.7% 48% 42%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35] June 7–10, 2020 – (LV)[ac] <= ± 7.7% 52% 36%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37] March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[ad] 42% 43%

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 219,205 48.9
Republican David Young 212,997 47.6
Libertarian Bryan Jack Holder 15,361 3.4
Write-in 384 0.1
Total votes 447,947 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Randy Feenstra J. D. Scholten
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 237,369 144,761
Percentage 62.0% 37.8%

County results
Feenstra:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Scholten:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve King
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Randy Feenstra
Republican

The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Defeated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Randy Feenstra

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Steve King

State representatives

Individuals

  • Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014[114]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steve
King
Randy
Feenstra
Steve
Reeder
Jeremy
Taylor
Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[115][E] May 16–18, 2020 400 (V) ± 4.9% 39% 41% 1% 4% 3%[F]
41%[ae] 48%
American Viewpoint[116][G] May 7–8, 2020 350 (LV) ± 5.2% 39% 36% 9%[af] 10%
American Viewpoint[117][G] April 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 34% 8%[ag] 15%
American Viewpoint[117][G] January 27–29, 2020 – (V)[j] 53% 22% [j]
G1 Survey Research[118][1] October 1–3, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 59% 15% 6% 0% 2%[ah] 17%
64%[ai] 24% 12%[aj]
64%[ai] 19% 17%[ak]

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Feenstra—80–90%
  •   Feenstra—60–70%
  •   Feenstra—50–60%
  •   Feenstra—40–50%
  •   Feenstra—30–40%
  •   King—30–40%
  •   King—40–50%
  •   King—50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra 37,329 45.5
Republican Steve King (incumbent) 29,366 35.9
Republican Jeremy Taylor 6,418 7.8
Republican Bret Richards 6,140 7.5
Republican Steve Reeder 2,528 3.1
Write-in 176 0.2
Total votes 81,957 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
J.D. Scholten

Results

[edit]
2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Scholten—100%
  •   Scholten—≥90%
Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic J. D. Scholten 46,370 99.6
Write-in 166 0.4
Total votes 46,536 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R October 15, 2020
Politico[120] Likely R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R October 15, 2020
RCP[25] Lean R October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26] Likely R July 26, 2020
The Economist[27] Likely R October 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Randy
Feenstra (R)
J.D.
Scholten (D)
Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University[28] October 15–20, 2020 414 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 42% 10%[al]
414 (LV)[c] 48% 43%
414 (LV)[d] 47% 44%
Change Research (D)[121][H] October 13–15, 2020 603 (LV) ± 4% 50% 45%
American Viewpoint (R)[122][G] October 6–8, 2020 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 54% 31% 11%[am]
Monmouth University[30] July 25 – August 3, 2020 374 (RV) ± 5.1% 54% 34% 12%[an]
374 (LV)[c] 55% 34% 10%[ao]
374 (LV)[d] 56% 33% 10%[ao]
Hypothetical polling

with Steve King and J.D. Scholten

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steve
King (R)
J.D.
Scholten (D)
Undecided
20 Insight (D)[123][I] January 16–17, 2019 472 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 44% 17%

with Steve King and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steve
King (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
20/20 Insight (D)[123][I] January 16–17, 2019 472 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 45% 18%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33] October 26–29, 2020 – (LV)[j] ± 6.9% 50% 33% 10%[ap] 8%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34] September 14–17, 2020 – (LV)[aq] ± 7.5% 49% 44%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35] June 7–10, 2020 – (LV)[ar] <= ± 7.7% 57% 35%
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37] March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[as] 51% 40%

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra 237,369 62.0
Democratic J. D. Scholten 144,761 37.8
Write-in 892 0.2
Total votes 383,022 100.0
Republican hold

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  5. ^ Undecided with 10%
  6. ^ a b "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  7. ^ a b c "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  8. ^ a b Standard VI response
  9. ^ Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
  10. ^ a b c d e f Not yet released
  11. ^ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  12. ^ a b c d Includes "Do not remember"
  13. ^ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  14. ^ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  15. ^ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  16. ^ a b "Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  17. ^ "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  18. ^ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  19. ^ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  20. ^ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  21. ^ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  22. ^ "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  23. ^ "Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
  24. ^ "Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
  25. ^ Undecided with 7%
  26. ^ Undecided with 5%
  27. ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  28. ^ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  29. ^ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  30. ^ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  31. ^ If only King and Feenstra were candidates
  32. ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
  33. ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
  34. ^ Bret Richards with 2%
  35. ^ a b If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
  36. ^ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
  37. ^ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
  38. ^ "Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  39. ^ Undecided with 11%
  40. ^ "Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
  41. ^ a b "Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  42. ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  43. ^ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  44. ^ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  45. ^ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
  3. ^ a b The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
  4. ^ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
  5. ^ American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
  6. ^ Richards with 3%
  7. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.
  9. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  2. ^ Bowman, Bridget (August 21, 2019). "House freshmen try to keep it local as presidential race steals the spotlight". Roll Call. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". August 3, 2020.
  4. ^ "2020 Endorsements | Warren Democrats". Archived from the original on August 3, 2021. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
  5. ^ "U.S. House Candidates". EMILY's List.
  6. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". End Citizens United. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  7. ^ "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  8. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 15, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  9. ^ Hogue, Ilyse (March 8, 2019). "NARAL Announces First Slate of Frontline Pro-Choice Endorsements for 2020". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on August 5, 2020. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  10. ^ "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  11. ^ a b "VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club Independent Action. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h "Primary Election - 2020 CANVASS SUMMARY" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  13. ^ Beckman, Sarah (May 13, 2019). "Ashley Hinson announces run for 1st Congressional District". WOI-DT. Archived from the original on May 13, 2019. Retrieved May 13, 2019.
  14. ^ Lynch, James Q. (June 20, 2019). "Thomas Hansen running for Congress to protect American principles". The Gazette. Retrieved June 21, 2019.
  15. ^ Rynard, Pat (February 21, 2019). "Rod Blum Is Still Running Ads In His Old District". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
  16. ^ a b Lynch, James Q. (October 17, 2019). "Gov. Kim Reynolds endorses Ashley Hinson in 1st District Race". The Gazette. Retrieved October 17, 2019.
  17. ^ a b "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  18. ^ "Ashley Hinson". Susan B. Anthony List. Archived from the original on December 6, 2019. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  19. ^ C-SPAN
  20. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  21. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  22. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  23. ^ a b c "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  24. ^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  25. ^ a b c d "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  26. ^ a b c d "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  27. ^ a b c d "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. October 2, 2020. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  28. ^ a b c d Monmouth University
  29. ^ Basswood Research (R)
  30. ^ a b c d Monmouth University
  31. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  32. ^ a b Harper Polling (R)
  33. ^ a b c d Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register
  34. ^ a b c d Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
  35. ^ a b c d Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
  36. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  37. ^ a b c d Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
  38. ^ a b c d "General Election - 2020 Canvass Summary" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State.
  39. ^ a b Murphy, Dave (April 12, 2019). "Iowa Congressman Dave Loebsack to retire in 2020". Quad-City Times. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
  40. ^ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 14, 2019). "Rita Hart throws hat in race for U.S. Rep. Loebsack's seat". Iowa City Press-Citizen. Retrieved July 26, 2019.
  41. ^ Smith, Zachary Oren (March 2, 2020). "After quiet campaign, Abuissa suspends campaign for Loebsack's seat". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  42. ^ "Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart". Quad-City Times. June 7, 2019. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
  43. ^ DiGiacomo, Julia (April 22, 2019). "Who's considering a 2020 run for Dave Loebsack's seat in Congress". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  44. ^ Lynch, James Q. (May 1, 2019). "Kinney decides against open seat race for Iowa's 2nd District U.S. House seat". The Gazette. Retrieved May 5, 2019.
  45. ^ Belin, Laura (May 23, 2019). "IA-02 primary: Hart gaining strength, Croken considering, Russell's out". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
  46. ^ Watson, Sarah (May 3, 2019). "Iowa City business owner Veronica Tessler won't run for Congress". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
  47. ^ Smith, Zachary Oren (July 10, 2019). "Former challenger Tessler endorses Rita Hart in 2nd Congressional race". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  48. ^ @IAStartingLine (May 22, 2019). ". @RitaHartIA rolls out endorsements for her #IA02 campaign from nearly every notable Democratic leader in the 2nd District" (Tweet). Retrieved January 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
  49. ^ Belin, Laura (May 14, 2019). "Why Rita Hart is favored to win the IA-02 Democratic primary". Bleeding Heartland. State Senator Zach Wahls has said he would not run for Congress if Hart does.
  50. ^ a b Belin, Laura (June 11, 2019). "IA-02: Abby Finkenauer, Cindy Axne endorse Rita Hart". Bleeding Heartland.
  51. ^ Elena Schneider [@ec_schneider] (May 21, 2020). "Amy Klobuchar endorses her second round of House/Senate candidates through her Win Big Project:" (Tweet). Retrieved January 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
  52. ^ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 29, 2019). "Rep. Dave Loebsack endorses Rita Hart to replace him 2nd District". The Des Moines Register.
  53. ^ Lynch, James Q. (June 3, 2019). "Iowa Auditor Rob Sand endorses Rita Hart for 2nd District race". The Gazette.
  54. ^ "Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier. July 10, 2019.
  55. ^ "Long List Of Prominent IA-02 Dems Endorse Rita Hart". Iowa Starting Line. May 22, 2019.
  56. ^ Mutnick, Ally (January 28, 2020). "DCCC adds 12 challengers to first round of 'Red to Blue' program". Politico. Rita Hart (IA-02)
  57. ^ Schriock, Stephanie (June 24, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Rita Hart in Iowa's 2nd District". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  58. ^ Muller, Tiffany (September 19, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Rita Hart For IA-02". End Citizens United.
  59. ^ "Giffords Endorses Slate of Women Running to Keep Gun Safety a Top Congressional Priority". giffords.org. Giffords. April 30, 2020. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  60. ^ Riley, John (June 9, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign makes congressional endorsements ahead of November's election". www.metroweekly.com. Metro Weekly. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  61. ^ a b Sittenfeld, Tiernan (February 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Rita Hart and J.D. Scholten for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  62. ^ Hogue, Ilyse (November 14, 2019). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Rita Hart for Congress". NARAL Pro-Choice America.
  63. ^ Smith, Zachary Oren (October 1, 2019). "Sen. Miller-Meeks enters race for Iowa's 2nd District". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  64. ^ Whitaker, Winona (April 8, 2020). "Borchardt runs for Congress as alternative to Miller-Meeks, Schilling". Clinton Herald.
  65. ^ "Knoxville's Everly announces run for Congress". Journal-Express. Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved January 8, 2020.
  66. ^ "Rick Phillips announces run for Iowa's 2nd U.S. House District". The Chronicle. March 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 24, 2020. Retrieved March 24, 2020.
  67. ^ Lukitsch, Bill (July 8, 2019). "Former U.S. Rep. Bobby Schilling announces run for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District". The Gazette. Retrieved July 8, 2019.
  68. ^ Smith, Zachary (June 22, 2019). "Republican Kedley pulls out of 2nd Congressional race". Iowa City Press-Citizen. Retrieved September 2, 2024.
  69. ^ a b Pathé, Simone; Bowman, Bridget (April 12, 2019). "Iowa's Dave Loebsack will not run for re-election in 2020". Roll Call. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
  70. ^ a b Murphy, Erin; Lynch, James (April 12, 2019). "Loebsack's retirement leaves 2nd District race wide open". The Gazette. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
  71. ^ Lynch, James Q. (May 20, 2019). "Rep. Bobby Kaufmann won't seek U.S. House 2nd District seat". The Gazette. Retrieved May 20, 2019.
  72. ^ Barrón-López, Laura (May 31, 2019). "House recruiting notebook: NC-09 Republicans pick their candidate". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 31, 2019. There's also talk of Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK construction, eyeing a run.
  73. ^ Belin, Laura (April 13, 2019). "Why Dave Loebsack's retirement makes IA-02 a toss-up race". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved April 14, 2019.
  74. ^ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 16, 2019). "Republican Christopher Peters will not take third shot at Iowa's 2nd District seat". Iowa City Press-Citizen. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  75. ^ Ambrose, Graham (February 18, 2020). "Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst endorses Mariannette Miller-Meeks in 2nd District congressional race". Quad-City Times. Archived from the original on May 29, 2024. Retrieved September 3, 2024.
  76. ^ Lynch, James Q (October 7, 2019). "Branstads back Miller-Meeks for Congress". Quad-City Times.
  77. ^ Oren Smith, Zachary (December 5, 2019). "Iowa Ag. Secretary endorses Miller-Meeks". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  78. ^ Oren Smith, Zachary (November 8, 2019). "Gov. Reynolds endorses Miller-Meeks in Iowa's 2nd District". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  79. ^ Hart, Shane (April 27, 2020). "Jim Jordan Endorses Bobby Schilling in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Race". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved September 2, 2024.
  80. ^ C-SPAN
  81. ^ Harper Polling (R)
  82. ^ Payne, Kate (November 30, 2020). "State Certifies Miller-Meeks As Winner In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, But A Legal Challenge May Follow". Iowa Public Radio. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  83. ^ Ferris, Sarah (December 2, 2020). "Iowa Democrat will challenge election results with House". Politico. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
  84. ^ "Pelosi says Iowa Republican in contested race will be seated". Associated Press. December 30, 2020. Retrieved December 31, 2020.
  85. ^ Grayer, Annie (March 22, 2021). "House Democrats face backlash on both sides for investigating Iowa House race won by a Republican - CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  86. ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 31, 2021). "Democrat Rita Hart withdraws challenge in Iowa House race". The Hill. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
  87. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (May 6, 2019). "Former Congressman David Young will run to reclaim his seat in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 6, 2019.
  88. ^ Rodriguez, Barbara (May 13, 2019). "Republican Bill Schafer will seek Iowa's 3rd Congressional District seat". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
  89. ^ Belin, Laura (September 1, 2019). "Where things stand in Iowa's Senate, Congressional races". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 5, 2019.
  90. ^ "State Sen. Zach Nunn won't run for Congress". WeAreIowa. July 16, 2019. Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved July 18, 2019.
  91. ^ Mutnick, Ally (January 31, 2019). "Brad Zaun Rules Out Axne Challenge". National Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  92. ^ Rodriguez, Barbara (August 15, 2019). "Libertarian congressional candidate Bryan Jack Holder says it's 'good to be at the adults' table'". The Des Moines Register.
  93. ^ The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  94. ^ The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  95. ^ Hayworth, Bret (January 9, 2019). "Update: Steve King responds to challenge by fellow Republican Randy Feenstra". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  96. ^ Leys, Tony (February 21, 2019). "Steve King: 'I have nothing to apologize for,' plans to run for re-election". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
  97. ^ Hayworth, Bret (September 26, 2019). "Arnolds Park businessman becomes fourth Republican in race to oust Steve King". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
  98. ^ Obradovich, Kathie (January 10, 2019). "Steve King's second GOP challenger: 'I know I won't embarrass the state'". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  99. ^ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (January 24, 2019). "Iowa U.S. Rep. Steve King now has three Republican challengers for 2020". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  100. ^ Weigel, David (January 15, 2019). "The Trailer: The message of Julián Castro's visit to Puerto Rico". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  101. ^ Hayworth, Bret (January 24, 2019). "Jeremy Taylor of Sioux City enters GOP primary to unseat Iowa's Steve King". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved April 13, 2019.
  102. ^ Mutnick, Ally (January 31, 2019). "GOP Efforts to Oust Steve King Gain Steam". National Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  103. ^ Belin, Laura (January 9, 2019). "IA-04: Randy Feenstra to challenge Steve King; Rick Sanders thinking about it". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  104. ^ "Upmeyer stepping down as speaker of Iowa House". Radio Iowa. September 3, 2019. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
  105. ^ a b c Belin, Laura (June 12, 2019). "IA-04: Randy Feenstra going all in on beating Steve King (updated)". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  106. ^ Vander Hart, Shane (September 5, 2019). "Kraayenbrink Endorses Feenstra in Iowa's 4th Congressional District Race". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  107. ^ Wise, Justin (January 10, 2019). "Ben Shapiro urges Congress to censure Steve King after he questions why term 'white supremacist' is offensive". The Hill. Nexstar Media Group. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  108. ^ Opsahl, Robin (July 18, 2019). "Family Leader president endorses Steve King challenger in 4th District Republican primary". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  109. ^ "Republican Jewish Coalition Endorses Rep. Steve King's Primary Opponent". Algemeiner Journal. May 8, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
  110. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on May 14, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  111. ^ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 5, 2020). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses challenger Randy Feenstra over Rep. Steve King in primary race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
  112. ^ board, Journal editorial (May 31, 2020). "OUR OPINION: Feenstra represents best choice for Republicans in 4th District U.S. House primary". Sioux City Journal.
  113. ^ "Congressman Steve King receives campaign endorsement from former Rep. Klemme". KCAU. February 22, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
  114. ^ "Sam Clovis Endorses Steve King | Caffeinated Thoughts". May 29, 2020.
  115. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  116. ^ American Viewpoint
  117. ^ a b American Viewpoint
  118. ^ G1 Survey Research
  119. ^ Judd, Donald (August 5, 2019). "Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King". CNN. Retrieved August 5, 2019.
  120. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. July 6, 2020.
  121. ^ Change Research (D)
  122. ^ American Viewpoint (R)
  123. ^ a b 20/20 Insight (D)
[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates