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Compensation (electoral systems)

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Compensation or correction is an optional mechanism of electoral systems, which corrects the results of one part of the system based on some criterion to achieve a certain result, usually to make it more proportional.[1] There are in general two forms of compensation: vote linkage and seat linkage.

Compensation exists in many ranked voting systems such as instant-runoff voting and single transferable voting, where votes for eliminated candidates (and in the case of STV, surplus votes of elected candidates) are transferred to other candidates, thereby compensating voters who voted for candidates who may not be elected (or whose votes were not needed to get a candidate elected). This is an example of vote linkage compensation in a single-tier system. The equivalent of this type of compensation in case of party-list proportional representation is the spare vote.

In mixed electoral systems compensation is usually contrasted with superposition, which means two electoral systems are used independently of each other with multiple tiers.[2] Most mixed compensatory electoral systems use seat linkage (typically mixed-member proportional representation), however some use multi-tier vote linkage, which usually leads to less proportional results.

Mechanism

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The two common ways compensation occurs are seat linkage compensation (or top-up) and vote linkage compensation (or vote transfer).[3] Like a non-compensatory mixed system, a compensatory mixed system may be based on the mixed single vote (voters vote for a local candidate and that vote is used to set the party share of the popular vote for the party that the candidate belongs to) or it may be based on voters casting two separate votes.[4]

Example of seat linkage compensation

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In both mixed compensatory systems and mixed non-compensatory systems, two sets of seats are allocated using different methods. Most often, this involves one winner-take-all system, usually first-preference plurality. The remaining seats are allocated to political parties partially or wholly based on a proportional allocation method such as highest averages or largest remainder. The difference is whether or not the results of the district elections are considered when allocating the PR seats.[citation needed]

In mixed non-compensatory systems, such as parallel voting, the proportional allocation is performed independently of the district election component.[5]

In seat linkage mixed compensatory systems, the allocation of the top-up seats is done in such a way as to compensate as much as possible for dis-proportionality produced by the district elections. MMP generally produces proportional election outcomes, meaning that a political party that wins n percent of the vote will receive roughly n percent of the seats.[citation needed]

The following hypothetical example based on the one by Massicotte[5] illustrates how "top-up" PR seats are typically allocated in a compensatory system and in a non-compensatory system. The example assumes a 200-seat legislative assembly where 100 seats are filled using FPTP and the other 100 seats are awarded to parties using a form of PR. The table below gives the popular vote and FPTP results. The number of PR seats allocated to each party depends on whether the system is compensatory or non-compensatory.[citation needed]

Party Popular vote FPTP seats PR seats Total seats (FPTP + PR) FPTP seats
Party A 44% 64 ? ?
Party B 40% 33 ? ?
Party C 10% 0 ? ?
Party D 6% 3 ? ?
TOTAL 100% 100 100 200

In non compensatory system, each party wins its proportional share of the 100 PR seats. Under such a system, the total number of seats (FPTP + PR) received by each party would not be proportional to its share of the popular vote. Party A receives just slightly less of the popular vote than Party B, but receives significantly more seats. In addition to its success in the district contests, Party A receives almost as many of the PR seats as Party B.

Party Popular vote FPTP seats PR seats (non-compensatory) Total seats (FPTP + PR) PR seats (non-compensatory) Total seats (FPTP + PR)
Party A 44% 64 44 108 (54% of assembly)
Party B 40% 33 40 73 (36.5% of assembly)
Party C 10% 0 10 10 (5% of assembly)
Party D 6% 3 6 9 (4.5% of assembly)
TOTAL 100% 100 100 200

If the PR seats are allocated in a compensatory system, the total number of seats awarded to each party is proportional to the party's share of the popular vote. Party B wins 33 of the district seats and its proportional share of the 200 seats being filled is 80 seats (40 percent of the total 200 seats) (the same as its share of the popular vote) so it is awarded 47 of the PR seats.

Party Popular vote FPTP seats PR seats (compensatory) Total seats (FPTP + PR) PR seats (compensatory) Total seats (FPTP + PR)
Party A 44% 64 24 88 (44% of assembly)
Party B 40% 33 47 80 (40% of assembly)
Party C 10% 0 20 20 (10% of assembly)
Party D 6% 3 9 12 (6% of assembly)
TOTAL 100% 100 100 200

In practice, compensatory seat allocation is complicated by the possibility that one or more parties wins so many of the district seats ("overhang") that the available number of PR seats is insufficient to produce a fully proportional outcome.[3] Some mixed compensatory systems have rules that address these situations by adding additional PR seats to achieve overall PR. These seats are used only until the next election, unless needed again at that time.[5]

In MMP, the voter casts two votes: one for a constituency representative and one for a party. In the original variant used in Germany, citizens gave only one vote, so that voting for a representative automatically meant also voting for the representative's party, which is still used in some MMP elections today and is more robust against tactical voting than typical two-vote versions. Most of Germany changed to the two-vote variant to make local members of parliament (MPs) more personally accountable. Voters can thus vote for the local person they prefer for local MP without regard for party affiliation, since the partisan make-up of the legislature is determined only by the party vote. In the 2017 New Zealand election, 27.33% of voters split their vote (voted for a local candidate of a different party than their party vote) compared to 31.64% in 2014.[6]

The Scandinavian countries have a long history of using both multi-member districts (members elected through party-list PR) and nationally based compensatory top-up seats using the same method as MMP, however because the local MPs are also elected using PR, these systems are not usually considered MMP as they are not mixed systems.

Dealing with overhang seats

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When a party wins more constituency seats than it would be entitled to from its proportion of (party list) votes, most systems allow for these overhang seats to be kept by those candidates who earned it in the constituency elections. A counter-example would be the MMP variant used in Romania in the 2008 and 2012 legislative elections, where constituency seats could only be earned by the winning candidate if they also achieved an absolute majority in their district, thereby eliminating overhang seats.[citation needed]

In Germany's Bundestag and the New Zealand House of Representatives, all members elected for constituencies keep their seats. For example, in the 2008 New Zealand general election the Māori Party won 2.4% of the party vote, which would entitle them to 3 seats in the House, but won 5 constituency seats, leaving an overhang of 2 seats, which resulted in a 122-member house. If the party vote for the Māori Party had been more in proportion with the constituency seats won, there would have been a normal 120-member house.[citation needed]

In most German states, and in the federal Bundestag since 2013, the other parties receive extra seats (leveling seats) to create full proportionality. For example, the provincial parliament (Landtag) of North Rhine Westphalia has, instead of the usual 50% compensatory seats, only 29% unless more are needed to balance overhangs. If a party wins more local seats than its proportion of the total vote justifies, the size of the Landtag increases so that the total outcome is fully proportional to the votes, with other parties receiving additional list seats to achieve proportionality. The leveling seats are added to the normal number of seats for the duration of the electoral period. In the German state of Bavaria, the constituency vote and party vote are combined to determine the distribution of seats.[citation needed]

Scotland and Wales use a modified variant of MMP known as the additional-member system where due to the nature of the calculations used to distribute the regional list seats, overhang seats are not possible; the list allocation works like a mixed-member majoritarian system, but in using the d'Hondt method's divisors to find the averages for the allocation, the first divisor for each party takes into account the number of constituency seats won by the party; i.e. a party that won 7 constituency seats would start with a divisor of 8 (7 seats + 1 per the method's divisor formula) instead of 1. The resulting table would then give 7 seats for Scotland and 4 seats for Wales to the parties possessing the highest averages on the table, although both devolved parliaments do not use a table, instead using a sequential method. The compensatory effect characteristic of MMP is in the fact that a party that won constituency seats would have lower averages on the table than it would if the election used MMM. Because of no provision for overhang seats, there have been cases where a party ended up with fewer total seats than its proportional entitlement. This occurred, for example, in the elections in the South East Wales electoral region in both 2007 (Welsh Conservatives under-represented) and in 2016 (Welsh Labour over-represented, Plaid Cymru under-represented). Labour has also been over-represented on this basis in every election in the South Wales West region, and every election in the South Wales Central region apart from the 2003 election. This situation arises because Labour has continued to hold the overwhelming majority of constituency seats in these regions, and only around one-third of the total number of seats are available for distribution as additional regional seats.[citation needed]

Parallel voting

(MMM)

Broadly mixed-member proportional type of system (MMP)
Additional member system (AMS) Overhang seats re-added True MMP (with leveling seats)
Party Popular vote (%) Seats Share (%) Seats Share (%) Seats Share (%) Seats Share (%)
Party A 43% 67 (54+13) 67% 54 (54+0) 54% 54 (54+0+0) 48% 71 (54+0+17) 43%
Party B 41% 24 (11+13) 24% 34 (11+23) 34% 41 (11+23+7) 36% 68 (11+23+34) 41%
Party C 13% 3 (0+3) 3% 7 (0+7) 7% 13 (0+7+6) 12% 21 (0+7+14) 13%
Party D 3% 5 (5+0) 5% 5 (5+0) 5% 5 (5+0+0) 4% 5 (5+0+0) 3%
TOTAL 100% 70+30 100% 70+30 100% 70+30+13 100% 70+30+65 100%
Index of disproportionality

(Gallagher)

22.01 (disproportional) 10.25 (moderately disproportional) 4.97 (considered proportional) 0.25 (highly proportional)
Method used Independent PR tier Fixed number of compensatory seats Number of (extra) leveling seats =

number of overhang seats

As many leveling seats as needed
This type of system used in Russia, among others Scotland, among others New Zealand formerly in Germany

Threshold

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Vote linkage between tiers

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Tactical manipulation

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Some compensatory electoral systems have properties that make them vulnerable to manipulation, which is usually intended to subvert the compensation mechanism.[citation needed]

Compensatory mixed electoral systems

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Compensatory mixed systems
single vote systems dual vote systems
Seat linkage mixed single vote, top-up versions (MSV)
  • single vote MMP
  • single vote AMS (Bolivia, Lesotho)
mixed-member proportional representation (MMP)
additional member system (AMS)
alternative vote plus (AV+)
Hybrids: e.g. parallel voting+AMS (South Korea)
Vote linkage positive vote transfer (PVT/MSV)
  • Hungarian PVT/MSV (local elections)
  • Romanian PVT/MSV system (2008–2012)
Hybrids:
Others systems:
dual-member proportional (DMP) mixed ballot transferable vote (MBTV)

Mixed-member proportional (MMP) and additional member systems (AMS)

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MMP and AMS have a tier of district representatives typically elected by FPTP, and a tier of regional or at-large representatives elected by PR. Unlike in parallel voting, the PR seats are allocated in a manner that corrects disproportionality caused by the district tier. MMP corrects disproportionalities by adding even more leveling seats, this system is used by New Zealand.[citation needed]

The type of MMP which does not always yield proportional results, but sometimes only "mixed semi-proportional representation" is called an additional member system. If the fixed number of compensatory seats are enough to compensate the results of the majoritarian FPTP/SMP side of the election, AMS is equivalent to MMP, but if not, AMS does not compensate for remaining overhang seats. In Bolivia and Lesotho, where single vote versions of AMS are used with a relatively large number of compensatory seats, results are usually proportional. AMS models used in parts of the UK (Scotland and Wales), with small regions with a fixed number of seats tend to produce only moderately proportional election outcomes.[citation needed]

Majority jackpot systems

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While the (very similar) majority bonus systems are considered non-compensatory, majority jackpot systems technically assign the seats outside the jackpot without including the party that received the jackpot, therefore are compensatory in that sense. Some systems, like the one in Armenia, also includes a minority jackpot.[citation needed]

Scorporo and negative vote transfer (NVT)

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Scorporo is a two-tier mixed system similar to MMP in that voters have two votes (one for a local candidate on the lower tier, and one for a party list on the upper tier), except that disproportionality caused by the single-member district tier is partially addressed through a vote transfer mechanism.[7] Votes that are crucial to the election of district-winning candidates are excluded from the PR seat allocation, for this reason the method used by scorporo is referred to as a negative vote transfer system.[8] The system was used in Italy from 1993 to 2005, and a modified version is currently used in Hungary.[9]

Mixed ballot transferable vote (MBTV)

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MBTV is a mixed compensatory type of systems similar to MSV, except voters can vote separately for a local candidate and as a transfer vote on the compensatory tier.[10] It is different from MMP/AMS and AV+ in that there is a vote linkage (instead of seat linkage) between the tiers. The two parts of the dual ballot are tied in a way that only those lists votes get counted, which are on ballots that would be transfer votes in an equivalent positive vote transfer MSV system.[citation needed]

Alternative vote plus (AV+)

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AV+ is a mixed compensatory system similar to the additional member system, with the notable difference that the district seats are awarded using the alternative vote. The system was proposed by the Jenkins Commission as a possible alternative to FPTP for elections to the Parliament of the United Kingdom.[citation needed]

Dual member proportional (DMP)

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DMP is a mixed compensatory system similar to MMP, except that the plurality and PR seats are paired and dedicated to dual-member (two seat) districts. Proposed as an alternative to FPTP for Canadian elections, DMP appeared as an option on a 2016 plebiscite in Prince Edward Island and a 2018 referendum in British Columbia.[citation needed]

Countries using compensatory systems

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Current use

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Country Legislative body Use Number of votes (personal and list) Notes
Armenia
Bolivia Bolivia Chamber of Deputies 1994–present Two votes
Germany Germany State parliaments, except varies by state varies by state Bavaria uniquely uses an open-list system for its party-list seats. Baden-Württemberg uses MMP without lists.
Hungary
South Korea Republic of Korea (South Korea) National Assembly 2019–present Two votes Originally used a hybrid system with 253 single-member constituency seats, 17 supplementary seats (a la parallel voting) and 30 compensatory seats elected using the additional-member system variant of MMP. Now uses a straightforward AMS system with all proportional seats being compensatory since 2024.
Lesotho Lesotho National Assembly 2002–present Single vote (MSV) Initially used two vote version, changed to the single vote version in 2012 due to the use of decoy lists.
Mexico
New Zealand New Zealand House of Representatives 1994–present Two votes
United Kingdom United Kingdom Scotland Scotland - Scottish Parliament 1999–present Two votes[11] Modified version of MMP referred to as the additional-member system, which in Scotland is divided into regions.
Local elections in 2000–present Two votes[11]

References

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  1. ^ Massicotte & Blais (1999). "Mixed electoral systems: a conceptual and empirical survey". Electoral Studies. 18 (3): 341–366. doi:10.1016/S0261-3794(98)00063-8.
  2. ^ Bochsler, Daniel (May 13, 2010). "Chapter 5, How Party Systems Develop in Mixed Electoral Systems". Territory and Electoral Rules in Post-Communist Democracies. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 9780230281424.
  3. ^ a b Bochsler, Daniel (2012). "A quasi-proportional electoral system 'only for honest men'? The hidden potential for manipulating mixed compensatory electoral systems" (PDF). International Political Science Review. 33 (4): 401–420. doi:10.1177/0192512111420770. S2CID 154545923.
  4. ^ Golosov, G. V. (2013). "The Case for Mixed Single Vote Electoral Systems". The Journal of Social, Political, and Economic Studies.
  5. ^ a b c Massicotte, Louis (2004). In Search of Compensatory Mixed Electoral System for Québec (PDF) (Report).
  6. ^ "2017 Split Voting Statistics". electionresults.govt.nz.
  7. ^ Bochsler, Daniel; Golder, Matt (2014). "Which mixed-member proportional electoral formula fits you best? Assessing the proportionality principle of positive vote transfer systems" (PDF). Representation. 50 (1): 113–127. doi:10.1080/00344893.2014.902222. S2CID 153691414.
  8. ^ Ferrara, F (2003). "Electoral coordination and the strategic desertion of strong parties in compensatory mixed systems with negative vote transfers". Electoral Studies.
  9. ^ Le Breton, Michel; Lepelley, Dominique; Merlin, Vincent (2015). "The probability of casting a decisive vote in a mixed-member electoral system using plurality at large" (PDF).
  10. ^ "Electoral incentives and the equal value of ballots in vote transfer systems with positive winner compensation".
  11. ^ a b "Additional Member System". www.electoral-reform.org.uk. Retrieved 31 May 2024.